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87storms

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Everything posted by 87storms

  1. Garden variety shower moving through. All of a sudden it wants to rain in Frederick.
  2. I feel like the gfs has done well so far with most of the precip closer to the mason Dixon line.
  3. Getting clipped by a stat padding light rain shower here.
  4. Looks like a chance at more precip tomorrow with a decent vort pass and potentially more intriguing weather on Monday.
  5. Latest HRRR brings one last course (dessert round) through the area around 7-8pm, though that probably falls into the TBD category.
  6. The lightning in the cells to the south looks borderline strobe.
  7. Still raining and rumbling here. That 270 commute looks like it's about to get interesting.
  8. Yea, it's still going here. Very much needed. I saw some healthy lightning the other day, so I was good on that lol. The wind was feisty for a bit, though.
  9. Early analysis is that these aren’t severe here (I’ve seen a few similar storms the last couple summers), but it doesn’t matter…we need the rain and we’re getting it. Wouldn’t be surprised to see 1-1.5”+ in the gauges around here, when all is said and done.
  10. Absolutely pouring here with howling wind. Not much lightning so far but the ground is going to love this storm.
  11. Beautiful out right now...sunny/warm/humid...hoping we can capitalize on some storms later.
  12. Mostly cloudy here, but satellite shows clearing to the west. Will check radar again in the early afternoon to see what's poppin'.
  13. We may have spoken the precip into existence, at least in the city of Frederick. There’s a cell moving through and, not surprisingly, it’s on a sw to ne trajectory instead of the standard w-e which requires making it over some of the gnarly rocks of the Blue Ridge. Interesting take on the ground/dews…certainly would help describe the atmospheric memory phenomenon.
  14. It’s both comical and expected at this point. There is something about this pattern that just isn’t working here. Maybe better lift tomorrow can overcome the mitigating factors that have been prevalent up to this point.
  15. Whole lotta nothin’ up here from the first round (mostly expected). The same general pattern of precip continues.
  16. We’ve had glorified clippers all summer. Getting a light rain shower moving through now. Gonna need several inches of rain to make a dent in the drought conditions up this way.
  17. I just go by feel at this point. It’s humid (check)…and there’s sun (check). Rest is tbd like almost every other event here lol. What I do know is this is absolutely my kind of weather aka sunshine/humidity and a chance of storms later. I have no interest in cool/dry/cloudy/windy in the summer (we get enough of that from November to April).
  18. Latest Nam twins would fit the overall summer in Frederick very well. Hopefully it’s wrong. Regardless, this is obviously a classic nowcasting event.
  19. I’m in for tomo night/Monday. At minimum, it’s trackable.
  20. Yep, got clipped here with the first round and might get clipped again with the 2nd, but the fun part was watching CG lightning in the distance while playing some halfcourt hoops. The last game ended right before dark and before the storm moved through, so it was pretty good timing.
  21. The Nam is showing a little line of storms sagging south later which is somewhat believable given the sunshine/humidity factor. More tbd.
  22. I don't really expect anything substantial in the precip department on the downsloping side of the fence until we can get rid of this nw flow aloft. Maybe having some low level moisture off the Atlantic the next couple days will improve chances (tbd), but the upper air pattern does look more favorable early next week (another tbd).
  23. Even this cooler/drier pattern in the mid-Atlantic seems off. Mother Nature isn’t playing games anymore. I hiked/biked the Watershed and Little Bennett the last couple days, and can confirm the creeks/streams are as low I’ve seen them. We need a legitimate storm system.
  24. Light rain has somehow managed to overcome the Great Wall of Catoctin.
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