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87storms

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Everything posted by 87storms

  1. I'd like to see things form west of or around i81 instead of relying on something forming right overhead just east of the mountains. I'd feel more confident about organized cells for i95 east, but we shall see. With dews forecasted to be 70+, there's gonna be some legitimate downpours for those who score.
  2. Yea we had to work hard for the rain this week lol. Hopefully, Monday produces some classic mid-Atlantic storms as a segue into drier and greener by midweek.
  3. Semi-interested in the line to the west. Looks like a little piece of energy might be rotating through overnight. Low expectations.
  4. Absolutely perfect hoops weather. No wind. Definitely concur on the humidity.
  5. We need that warm front to punch through. I haven’t looked, but this has cad vibes.
  6. This system is getting a little too nickel and dime for my taste. 3 days of un-nice weather for a total of an inch maybe here. It was needed, but I'm ready to turn the page and get some warmer weather/storms. We're not gonna do well in the precip department with temps in the 60s and 70s. That's not our style this time of year. We're much better at 80s/90s, humidity, and isolated aternoon/evening gully washers.
  7. Getting a shower moving through at the moment. Heavier than radar would indicate, so I imagine the cells further south and east will be productive. Looks like this will be a 270 and east event. I’ll be ready for a return to warmer weather after today.
  8. Nice little shower moving through here. The yellow on the TIAD radar is an accurate depiction.
  9. Radar might spruce up a bit with some of that upper level energy rotating through over the next few hours. Can see a little bit of that lift on the water vapor loop. Regardless, at least we have the humidity now. Not gonna get much in the way of rain chances when dews are in the 40s and 50s.
  10. Yea looks like one of those raw, straight off the Atlantic precip events incoming for tomorrow. Hopefully things get more spicy later in the week. I’m just glad the weather is getting interesting again.
  11. Hopefully, we can get some sun to fuel the next round tomorrow, but it looks like Thursday has more in the way of t-storm potential.
  12. The models had it mostly accurate with the precip being mostly confined to the mountains. It ended up being a little further east than modeled, but tomorrow's round is basically region-wide. I agree, though...it doesn't start until it starts.
  13. Nam 3k follows the summer solstice with a nice batch of precip beginning tomorrow afternoon into the evening.
  14. Yea this was completely unexpected. Seeing over 1” in some of the gauges near point of rocks. Already seeing 1/3”+ at nearby gauges here. Lightning to the west as well. Good stuff. Hopefully the whole area can cash in on this new pattern.
  15. Hearing some thunder in the distance and getting clipped again here by some moderate downpours. Looks like there's a potential flush hit from those cells to the south. We'll see if they hold.
  16. Healthy downpour has commenced here. Kinda came out of nowhere, but it’s definitely producing. Nice cap to the day.
  17. Actually, there is a miracle cell that just formed near dt Frederick. Was looking at the h5 map and there was some spin that was supposed to reach the mason Dixon line, so maybe we’re getting extra lift.
  18. The north Frederick rain shield is a force right now as well. Got light rained on while playing basketball, but nothing to write home about, and can see some good stuff to the sw of my locale. Dews have certainly risen, though. Finally feels like summer outside.
  19. Yea, this is an astronomically better weather pattern than the last few weeks. That dry, dusty, smoky nw wind was getting played out. I have low expectations of any imby storms making it up this way, but good to see some popcorn cells showing up.
  20. Noticeable uptick in humidity today...nothing like what this area is capable of, but hopefully the start of a trend towards better storm chances.
  21. LWX mentioned that we may not get any rain until next weekend if the block to the north is strong enough. However, there is some potentially great news... There are indications that the pattern may break down somewhat, or at least re-orient, later in the week as a system moves across Canada. This would center the high closer to or off the east coast, allowing for an increase in temperatures and humidity. Chances for showers and thunderstorms will increase likewise. However, model spread increases further during this time, so forecast details remain uncertain.
  22. Diddly here with the afternoon round. Was playing some pickup hoops and thought we might get rained on, but nothing materialized. Seeing a northwest wind through Sunday. The drought continues. Looks like high pressure moves off the coast at some point next week. Hopefully, that’s the start of a return flow that can be more productive in the storms department.
  23. Looks like we’re also dealing with more rounds of smoke, too. This season is a battle so far lol
  24. These are basically clippers. Hopefully July brings a more humid pattern to this region.
  25. I could picture some of the imby cells overperforming this afternoon if we can get enough breaks in the clouds/instability.
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