2nd time I've seen machine learning mentioned in the LWX disco (didn't realize AI tech was already used in forecasting):
Monday continues to look like the next widespread potential for
rain and some severe thunderstorms. The one aspect of this
system different from the past few SVR events, is the better
forcing is slightly delayed from peak heading. A potent low
pressure system will scoot by well to our north across the Great
Lakes region. Guidance recently has trended slightly south with
the low. This inherently impacts the warm frontal position. The
low will be accompanied by a positively tilted and relatively
deep upper trough (for August). As this approaches from the
west, expect shower and thunderstorms to develop late Monday
into Monday night. Could see some development ahead of the
primary system as well along the lee trough due to diurnal
heating as well. As usual, these could bring some isolated
damaging wind gusts. But the main threat comes with the Monday
night round. Damaging wind gusts and large hail are the primary
concerns with these storms. CSU machine learning continues to
highlight the FA with modest SVR probs as well as SPC with a
Slight Risk for SVR wx generally west of the Blue Ridge. The
warm frontal positioning will influence the tornado threat.
Additionally, flooding can`t be ruled out, especially if the
front manages to stall near the area. Do think the deep
southerlies should push the warm front north of the area rather
quickly, but still, given 2+ inch PWATs and a lingering
boundary, there exists at least an isolated flooding threat
Monday night.