87storms
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Everything posted by 87storms
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I actually can see the snow on top of Gambrill from my place, so that takes some of the sting off lol. They must have been cold enough to snow up there even with the lighter rates. I may need to take a detour through there this morning.
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Yea, we’re in a little valley here...kinda like Hagerstown. I remember seeing an average snowfall map years ago showing some parts of upper Moco averaging more than downtown Frederick, which makes some sense. My elevation is only 300’, but within 10-15 minutes I’m at 1500’. Meanwhile, Damascus approaches 800’. The little snow maxes that show up in Frederick are typically over Catoctin.
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Looks like there’s not even a coating here lol. I’m starting to think Frederick might actually be worse at precip/snow than some of the spots to the south and East due to the rain shadow/valley effect.
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Same here. Need the heavier rates. Might have to wait until that final band moves through…which I might not wait for lol.
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Still rain up here. We’re in the rate dependent phase of the storm.
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The 270 split continues to be a microclimate precip magnet. I experienced it firsthand for years. Still seems to be all rain near dt Frederick.
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I'm going to miss my jeep lol. 10 years of storm tracking in that thing. Extremely timely purchase, too...bought it in Fall 2013. Just saw the 18z Nam...it's actually much better than I expected, so I guess I'm in now. Looks like around midnight for a Frederick flip.
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I'm starting to wonder if this ends up like 2018/19 where we snagged a few snowstorms simply by playing the numbers game in an active pattern.
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it's like 2500 feet, though lol.
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Beneficial soaker so far, but overall, this event seems a bit underwhelming. Looks like 0.5"-1.0" areawide for the most part and the radar is spotty to the west...at least for now.
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Seems like the Catoctin’s may have a chance at that final wave. Elevation gets up to 1400’ there, so it makes sense.
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I’m actually kinda retired from these stat padder, non-accumulating snow events, unless it’s pouring parachutes that accumulate on elevated surfaces. Otherwise, I want a legit snowstorm…at least 2-4”.
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I heard a similar rolling thunder in Frederick around 9am. Thought it was a truck…might still have been, but timing corresponded with the heavier precip.
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Not the most inspiring surface map for cold air chasing precip…but models > farmer style forecasting…so we’ll see… https://weather.rap.ucar.edu/surface/displaySfc.php?region=bwi&endDate=20230203&endTime=-1&duration=0
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There isn’t much of an arctic air push behind this system. Imo the higher elevations are in a much better spot to get a side of mashed potatoes from pollo.
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Apparently, we’re decent at fog, too. Some fairly dense fog has rolled in here the last several minutes.
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I’m starting to get winter vibes. We’re due.
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Approved.
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Ended up getting some sunny skies up here to end the week. Also just biked over at the 'shed...trails were drier than I expected. Really no muddy spots at all. Was nice to get out there before real winter arrives.
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I’m gonna welcome it. I just know these setups are typically nowcast for our region. I haven’t looked at this event too closely, so maybe it surprises. Higher elevations will be in better shape.
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lol. I'm not tracking snow for this event. Absolutely, not worth it. However, I will be tracking the storm itself as it looks interesting and may provide some needed rainfall. Might have to bike a trail or two today...I've been slacking on that.
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I grew up in the 80s and it made me think snow was basically to be expected every winter. Pretty solid 3 months of it. There were hits and misses, but snow was definitely a theme.
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Cloudy again to start the day lol. I don’t care as much as I’m portraying, but dang…can we get a sunny day. Maybe by this afternoon…
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Yep, back to cloudy conditions. This is a perfect example of why I do not like a persistent nw flow. The clouds to precip ratio is just not ideal…especially as you get further n and w of the fall line.
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Still can’t shake the clouds in Frederick. Been mostly cloudy the entire week. It does appear there’s gradual clearing to the southwest…finally.
