Kind of a weak surface low and it's gonna be zipping as the cold air moves in.
I've been getting February 2, 2010 vibes with this one. Nice little event, but not a very high ceiling given the entire setup.
Frederick seems to do pretty decent with these "rare" southern storms due to the combo of upslope and valley CAD. NS dominant storms are a little more sus as I get that downslope component. I think NPZ lives in an area where those effects are amplified. What makes that Clarksburg to Damascus area in Moco (and along that line) underrated for snow is they're usually not too far north or south and have topography working for them. I think they actually average a little more snow than downtown Frederick.
I think the lower qpf is more a product of the quick-hitting nature of the storm more so than it being just a bunch of snow grains falling from the sky.
Surprised to see barely a dusting at Bwi. Got a coating in Frederick. Roads were fine, but it clearly was sticking earlier. Side streets still had spotty accumulating. Looks like up to a half inch might have fallen.
My coworker, who was an operational forecaster for several years (and still checks the models, though now in biz dev) insinuated similar. Polar vortex might push things south, but how south who knows. Interesting pattern regardless.
Not sure if anyone can watch live, but I just got to the major upgrades in modeling presentation at ams. The euro and gfs are at 9 and 915 (CT), for those interested. You might be able to watch it via the ams website.
I was trying to figure that out while on an ams break lol.
In other news, Cantore is one of us. He was attending the “winter weather in a warming world” presentation this morning. Also briefly met Jason Samenow, who sat down next to me and my coworker (saw the name tag). I recognized the name from cwg.
Tons of presentations and posters here. Heard the Bmore one was also pretty big.
Jan ‘11 might have been my last legit thunder snow. I was living in downtown Bethesda and was on a jebber when lightning struck right overhead of me. Instant loud crack.