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87storms

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Everything posted by 87storms

  1. 87storms
    Gfs looks almost like a frontal passage. It’s gonna take bombogenesis if we’re talking a miller b. As others have said the trough is too east…not enough time to tap into the gulf at this latitude or the Atlantic at this longitude. 5-6 days out though…
  2. 87storms
    Aside from January ‘19, the argument could be made that he had the correct general idea lol.
  3. 87storms
    Jet steam next Friday looks similar to last night except further nw.
  4. 87storms
    That clipper is messing things up right now
  5. 87storms
    I vote yay on that lol. The inland runner we had was a 500 low too far west, but that’s not showing up with these next systems at least so far.
  6. 87storms
    I’ve just been peeking around but any southern wave gets my attention when there’s a 1030+ high nosing down from Canada. Looks like that wave washes out the last couple runs bc of a lead vort to the north but we don’t know yet where the current coastal ends up which I’m assuming will dictate things upstream.
  7. 87storms
    Yea I don’t think it’s a cutter pattern with the ridging out west, but if there’s enough blocking then maybe it’ll go negative quick enough. I almost like the midweek potential more though maybe bc it’s sooner lol.
  8. 87storms
    Really want the trough a little further west to avoid a late phase. That’ll cause a coastal developing too far east (like last nights system) or north.
  9. 87storms
    I split the difference and brew my own loose leaf black tea (only the good stuff). And it’s gotta be iced.
  10. 87storms
    Yea my sister said 6” (she’s around 10 mins west of sandbridge, if that). They seem to get these types of storms every few years.
  11. 87storms
    my takeaway from the 18z gfs is that i may need new tires for my jeep sooner than later.
  12. 87storms
    my brother in law isn't hyped yet (pungo area), so i had to tell him that the mid level stuff isn't set to move through until later. i think se virginia gets a few inches from this. it's been light so far and still coating the ground there.
  13. 87storms
    either i'm getting older (i am) and/or i need a full suspension bike for the frederick watershed stuff because my back is making noises i never thought possible. one of the benefits of winter is it forces me to be lazy...which i probably could use. in other news, i haven't been able to find any buffalo trace products recently, but i am enjoying jefferson's aged at sea. thought it would be gimmicky, but it's actually pretty good.
  14. 87storms
    there's not much at the surface with this one and the trough is positive. definitely interested in what va beach ends up with, though. could be impactful for that area...snow at the beach.
  15. 87storms
    tread carefully lol. it does look promising, though. we're generally very good at precip here...as long as there's cold, it'll snow at some point.
  16. 87storms
    tuesday still doesn't look impossible on the gfs and that east coast stemwinder next weekend is intriguing. i'm turning my attention now towards mecs's.
  17. 87storms
    i can't tell if the cold air got delayed (probably at least part of the problem) or the precip was too quick to move through/low formed further south. either way, timing was definitely off for the nw crew. looks like eastern portions were at least able to snag some light stuff at the end.
  18. 87storms
    yea, though even the short-range high res models called for more. i'm not even sure a single flake fell in frederick and some of those models were calling for a couple of inches, though this is also why it's futile to just look at snow maps. i had some doubts yesterday when i looked at the surface obs and saw the wind shift was still out in the midwest...the cold air just got delayed in an anti-cad kind of way.
  19. 87storms
    This storm ain’t it.
  20. 87storms
    Fog rolling off the mountains right now. Looks and feels like rain. Euro is still the king?
  21. 87storms
    temps generally in the low 40s in my neighborhood/surrounding.
  22. 87storms
    better temps towards m/d, better precip towards 95. pick your poison.
  23. 87storms
    where my sister lives...minutes from sandbridge. my brother in law is from york, pa and doesn't talk much about snow, but he gets hyped once the storm arrives lol.
  24. 87storms
    the canadian looked close to a mid-atlantic phase with that one.
  25. 87storms
    this system has pacific origins. looks like that arctic front is gonna ring out any leftover moisture from it. simple, but effective system.
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