cbmclean

What is "P2" and "LC2"?

Thank you for the info. I see that really nice EPO ridge almost to the pole. So I know that is generally positive as far as cold. I have heard it doesn't really help if the troughiness is tended to the west.

Haven't seen much mention of the EPS lately. I was assuming it was degrading the same way.

Learning moment for me. All I see is a full-latitude ridge. How does that get us (or at least you guys) in a better place.

Just curious why you are not favoring the 6/7 death possibility at this time.

Also got 1.04 in the bucket at my PWS. 2.35 MTD. Going into church today it was still pretty mild, but rainy. Coming out it was much colder.

The Southeastern forum has been essentially dead for the last two years at least, which is why I hang out here. I've learned a lot here, and I hate to see it declining as well. I wish I had more to offer. I have also come to realize that it takes a LOT of work to learn enough for one to make meaningful contribution, so my respect for all those that do.

If you insist, well take it off your hands.

1.02 in Wilson.

Are you trying to jinx us?

Luckily he still has a substantial snow pack left from last year.

NC is where you should go to feel better about Mid Atlantic snow climatology. Take it from one who lives in the NC coastal plain.

Very interesting. Where do you go to make those custom graphs? I know I have done it myself before, but I have forgotten how If I Google NCEP/NCAR reanalysis, I can find a page hosted by the Physical Sciences Laboratory, but it's not obvious how to enter data to form the graphs.

Per the global correlation charts I have been seeing, the Euro is still the king, with the CMC in second place. It would be really interesting to see if there is any data showing who scores best on certain specific smaller scales, such as eastern North America.

I was under the impression that Nina base state is west trough, east ridge.

That is something you have mentioned previously. I think you speculated that perhaps its the case that the effect of the "good" MJO phases are muted/non-existent if they are contraposed to the current base state. If that were to be true, then one would expect the upcoming time in 7 (assuming it actually verifies) to have little or no noticeable impact. Perhaps its still better to have it in in 7 and not helping rather than in 4-5-6 and actively hurting. Or maybe none of the old logic makes any difference in the new regime anymore.

At least you wouldn't have to worry about soil temps.

I'm wondering about the fact that the MJO now just seems to want cycle around the MC and seems almost physically prevented from going through phases 8, 1, 2. Or are they two sides of the same coin?

Low of 25.0.

I was more chuckling at remembering last year being kind to your location with marginal events that shafted the 95 corridor. Didn't you end up with something like 150% of your median?

What's the over/under for Mt. PSU?

0.51 today. Needed it.

0.79 today. Measurable rain for four straight days, totaling 2.02. 3.89 for the month. Grass green. Tomatoes split.

Drove back from Holden beach today. Ran into some torrential rain and beautiful dark skies. Had 0.66 in the gauge when we got home. Not bad but would like more after a hot dry week.

Have had measurable rainfall on 5 of 7 days so far this month. Not a huge amount any one day but enough to keep things green and lush. 0.95 so far for today. 2.66 for the month.