Insert standard "Trust the warmest model" joke that's not really a joke.
Normally I would ignore long range op compared to ens, but maybe the higher resolution of the op is allowing it to "see" the super persistent PNA more accurately.
Picked up 0.64" yesterday afternoon in a nice downpour after just missing the morning stuff. Then got 1.81" overnight for an excellent 2.45" total in less than 24 hours. 4.31" for the month.