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jm1220

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Everything posted by jm1220

  1. jm1220
    If there’s more than a coating consider that a win.
  2. jm1220
    Nice Norlun type event on this run that would pop up for NE of us/Boston while of course south of us has gotten hit/getting hit. Nice kick in the teeth that would be.
  3. jm1220
    It’s the only dusting to half inch we’ve got!
  4. jm1220
    Nature has a twisted sense of humor.
  5. jm1220
    Yep. At least in the last 2 failed winters it was bearable to be outside.
  6. jm1220
    There were signs in the ensembles that other models might catch on but none really jumped in, then the streams were clearly progged not to cooperate with the oncoming kicker and fast flow. Hopefully the northern stream trough is potent enough to give some of us up to an inch. Another fail.
  7. jm1220
    Been dead for days, arguably was never alive. GFS valiantly attempted CPR but patient long ago coded.
  8. jm1220
    Would be. Unfortunately that hope’s running on fumes too.
  9. jm1220
    Eventually something has to happen to get us out of this rut though. Any winter that ended favorably like 13-14 had ways to make significant snow events here happen. So far we’ve totally struck out other than the lucky inverted trough setup before Christmas, and this winter has that flavor of just striking out when we’re cold enough but it’s an immediate rainy cutter when the SE ridge returns. Sure that can change but it’s clear this pattern now where it’s cold enough won’t do it. Gradient patterns where it’s cold just to our N give us a chance, but could easily just be SWFEs that are just too warm here but are cold enough for I-90 to cash in. Bottom line is I’m not optimistic until we get a threat within 72 hours that any number of turds in the punchbowl won’t happen again and ruin it for us.
  10. jm1220
    I’m deleting the bickering crap. Grow up.
  11. jm1220
    Could be another nice hit for those who got hit from the last one. Maybe not DC so much but east of there in DE.
  12. jm1220
    If this more amped trend is right, I can see there being a chance at 2-3”. Ratios should be pretty favorable, no warm layers to mess up the snow growth.
  13. jm1220
    Even whatever jump it made isn’t near enough and it’s the NAM.
  14. jm1220
    I guess there’s still a chance at 1-2” from the northern stream wave as it comes through, it’s pretty vigorous. But whatever coastal system should still be way SE.
  15. jm1220
    And then-verbatim, back to windy cold and dry. Maybe all this noise in the northern stream can actually nudge something like this east, but last month the precip arrived in spades when the cold went away. I agree, this weather outside is brutal. Had to pick my garbage pails up for the 3rd time today in the freezing wind and frozen brown ground. I really don't get those who actually enjoy this.
  16. jm1220
    In perfect sync with this winter so far. Numerous cold/dry Dec days but plenty of precip when it became too warm (granted-snow before Christmas), the NYE thunderstorms, back to cold/dry with suppressed garbage. Wouldn’t be surprised in the least to see it go right back to cutters or cold rain SWFEs when it relaxes.
  17. jm1220
    Storms don’t trend NW because “that just happens”. If we keep this suppressive blocking pattern and fast Pacific, this same outcome will keep happening.
  18. jm1220
    Ain’t that wonderful for them.
  19. jm1220
    Forget bed, it’s been dragged out behind the barn, shot and buried 6 feet under.
  20. jm1220
    In marginal events here it does help. It’s usually 2-3 degrees colder up here which can make a big difference. I remember Mar 2019 being half decent where I live now with 3-5” wet snow and nothing on the south shore. 2/28/23 is another example-5” at my house now and white rain in Long Beach.
  21. jm1220
    If it’s another half inch event I could honestly care less. It’ll be mostly gone in 12 hours.
  22. jm1220
    Maybe 1979-80 but that was an El Niño.
  23. jm1220
    Whatever can go wrong will kind of winter. Unless of course you live in DC south, then they keep cashing in.
  24. jm1220
    In the last few years that’s been when we’ve been able to get snow-early Feb timeframe like in 2024, 2021.
  25. jm1220
    Just about everyone to our south cashing in though, in a Nina. Nature has a weird cruel dry sense of humor.
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