jm1220
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Everything posted by jm1220
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Time for South Jersey Alley to wake up.
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I would think there’s a heavy area of precip north of the front with this warm air overrunning the cold surface air. But if temps are around 30-31 with the heavy precip a lot would just run off. It’s really when temps are 25-26 that heavy rain rates would become a big problem.
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We pray. Might actually be nice on the shore too if we keep westerly winds, but that’ll be tough obviously.
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Yep, downslope and no leaves on the trees. Hopefully it can be more than one day and the backdoor can get hung up north of us. They get more snow up there, let them deal with the gunk.
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Down to 29 this morning.
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The ouch might be us on Sunday.
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74 in Hartford, 41 in Worcester. Ouch
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Sad last 3 months. Let’s get it out of here.
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Looks like more of a westerly flow with this warmup which I’ll believe when I see, but this time of year is when warmth often beats forecasts if winds stay offshore. So many of us could hit 80+. Also have to see how cloudy it is.
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Barrier islands probably won’t even get over 60. S winds will cool it down immediately and probably stiff 25 mph wind. Still too early to write off the backdoor front, they can rally back quickly. Takes a heck of a lot to keep the cold water impacts away this time of year. Hopefully the N shore and most of the city can have a few nice hours of warmth before the sea breeze front.
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These back door setups usually end up with the front making it further SW than hoped/modeled much of the time at this range. The wedge is not to be underestimated. I’d love the Euro to be right but have seen the inevitable creep SW too often.
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It’s another world up here sometimes vs the barrier islands. Actually most of the time in spring. Often there are 20 degree differences between here and Captree. I don’t miss living through that whatsoever in Long Beach. Many absolutely raw and nasty afternoons this time of year.
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Maritime gunk season. We can’t get sustained westerly flow this time of year for anything.
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Classic warm up for most of LI after the cold front comes through. Winds shifted to W and temp shot up over 60.
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How’s your snowstorm day off going?
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Maybe 0.2” here. This was essentially nothing for LI.
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Easy to pick out on a temp map where the low level gunk is lingering vs clearing. Stuck in the 40s here but NE CT well into the 60s.
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I think the heavy banding on 3/21 was supposed to hit 50 miles north but got squashed south at the last minute. A toned down 4/1/97 type event here.
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Where I live now there was probably 18”. Incredible storm for W Suffolk.
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I think it’s pretty damn clear now we need a favorable Pacific to even be in the ball game for a snowy winter.
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It won’t happen. Hopefully we can get westerly wind sunny days and fewer socked in easterly wind days. We could definitely use the rain so whatever comes on Friday is welcome.
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45/cloudy gunk. Yay!
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Hope it's right but other models have the dry sucky swath through most of this subforum. Eastern Suffolk looks like a better spot, a wave looks to develop on the front and enhance rainfall.
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Yep. Utter disaster east of the city, blizzard warning for a few inches that was gone by the end of the storm. The mounds of sleet in the city were impressive though.
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Right on cue for backdoor gunk season.
