jm1220

Where I live now there was probably 18”. Incredible storm for W Suffolk.

I think it’s pretty damn clear now we need a favorable Pacific to even be in the ball game for a snowy winter.

It won’t happen. Hopefully we can get westerly wind sunny days and fewer socked in easterly wind days. We could definitely use the rain so whatever comes on Friday is welcome.

45/cloudy gunk. Yay!

Hope it's right but other models have the dry sucky swath through most of this subforum. Eastern Suffolk looks like a better spot, a wave looks to develop on the front and enhance rainfall.

Yep. Utter disaster east of the city, blizzard warning for a few inches that was gone by the end of the storm. The mounds of sleet in the city were impressive though.

Right on cue for backdoor gunk season.

Time to put the wretched last 3 months behind us.

Awesome. Wildfires and drought=bad. Get it a little further west to fill the reservoirs.

Before the leaves pop on the trees you can see lots of huge diurnal swings like these. Hope we all enjoyed today and yesterday before the onshore gunk onslaught.

This winter gets a D. Snowfall atrocious once again but the colder outcome keeps it from an F.

Waters are still around 40 degrees in the area. Any east wind will be killer for any warmth and probably shroud us in low cloud gunk.

Up to 66. Gorgeous.

Probably have a few more freezes at least where I am but for southern Nassau County and the city they might be done. Crocuses blossoming here.

19.3” here on the season. Thanks for doing this!

We get any kind of breeze from the NE or E and warmth go bye bye.

Wow, looks like right around Exit 63. Very pronounced on radar.

When the Pacific becomes less hostile, our snow outcomes will improve. If New Orleans and Pensacola can still get 9” snowstorms, I’m not worried yet about it becoming too warm overall here. The overall warming is definitely a factor in marginal events to load the dice toward more rain, for example SWFEs where another degree cooler at the surface and mid levels would’ve given 1-2” more snow, but I think it makes more of an impact through these semipermanent marine heatwaves that are affecting the jet stream patterns and storm tracks.

28” is well below normal there, it’s more like Central Park average. Their recent 49” 1991-2020 average is significantly inflated from their crazy winters like 2014-15 but even with their longer term low to mid-40s average it’s pretty significantly below normal. But they got snow from SWFEs that happen in almost all Nina winters where we just had the one decent event. All in all should’ve been so much better given the cold. Glad it’s over.

Something needs to offset the huge warm SST area east of Japan which is likely what’s supercharging the Pacific jet. We had that last winter in a strong El Niño and it still influenced the pattern too much.

Bulbs are breaking through here too but otherwise not much activity. Should be full bloom next week with temps hopefully over 60.

Good, let’s bank what we can now. A lot will be running off though since the ground is partly frozen still.

3/22/18 was my favorite March storm but that’s probably a once in few decade setup the way that month turned out.

Strong SSE flow into the Poconos/Catskills, could be some fairly heavy amounts there which is great for reservoirs.

Story of this whole wretched winter, some wave or kicker etc ruins the setup because the Pacific is atrociously hostile and won’t allow anything to amplify in the right place.