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jm1220

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Everything posted by jm1220

  1. If most in NYC somehow get 2” from this I’d consider it a huge win. My thought for NYC is car topper to the 2” in Bayside/Whitestone.
  2. Where I am in Long Beach and for the city I’m not expecting much accums wise, would be surprised to have more than 1-2”. Temps seem borderline as much of the snow is falling. 32-33 with light snow won’t cut it outside of car tops and grass and even that might be only when it comes down moderate. But the north shore and places where it can cool off to 30 can do a good bit better. N NJ where models are focusing on more might get a few inches.
  3. Not a fan of how it’s favoring NJ more and more but they deserve a nice snow event. Hopefully this can work areawide.
  4. If the snow is falling moderate or better and temp is 32, the warm ground won’t matter and snow will stick. I’m thinking 1-3” for most of us but could be a surprise 4-5” if the fronto banding shown on the HRRR especially does work out. All in all a perfect example of this season of a system that will deliver in a way but a few minor tweaks could have been much better.
  5. Sea breeze today here on LI. Mid to upper 40s on the barrier islands but mid 50s here. Gorgeous.
  6. Wouldn’t even call it a “whiff”. I’d call it a strung out piece of crap that can’t get anything going which gets yanked out to sea. To me this is trending to another dusting to coating event from the front which we had 5-6 of this season and will be gone a few hours later.
  7. I had some minor interest in this a few days ago but it’s getting to be put up or shut up time and shut up is winning. Same issues we’ve been having all season-too progressive, +AO not allowing the flow to slow down and consolidate the trough/allow it to sharpen, strung out crap southern stream wave, northern stream diving in but not in time. I give it a 5-10% chance of it evolving back to somewhat interesting but odds are against it. “Interesting”=more than a 1-3” type event and even that’s probably just for the coast. If it’s another brief coating snow shower event that’s gone a few hours later I couldn’t care less anymore. Bring on spring then.
  8. I can’t think of anyone other than clickbait like Joe B calling for that kind of storm in NYC. To me it turned out about as was expected. Central Park had 8.5” when the range almost everyone had was 6-12” there. I’m convinced someone in the Hamptons ended close to 30” given how long the banding lasted there. It was a fast flow, progressive pattern in a +AO where stats showed NYC was unlikely to get major snow from. The double barrel and slow cutting off killed a major event west of Nassau County and we had a Juno 2015 like outcome.
  9. Ended with a good coating on top of a glaze on top of an inch or so of rain frozen into what snow is left. Congrats South Fork once again.
  10. Shinnecock Canal area must be getting a nice burst. Sleet line per CC is near Amagansett and good echos back to Riverhead.
  11. If only this torch could've peaked at 42-43 instead of 50s. This snow that's left will be hard as cement. But definitely a nice surprise here. Also you being a couple towns east of me might help you out. I have a decent coating but I'm doubting that much here.
  12. New coating here as well and continuing light snow. Actually looks like decent snow growth. Nice little parting gift.
  13. Flurries here. You can see on the CC that the sleet/mix line finally moved south of LI.
  14. I was near ISP this morning and you’d never think 2 feet of snow fell there. There’s about as much snow left there as I have, and 10” less fell here. Mostly piles left that’s it.
  15. Decent glaze here, you can hear a bit of crackling in the trees. Hopefully the next batch of precip coming through will be sleet or snow. The snow piles left will be impenetrable after this.
  16. All cold surfaces glazed here. My deck is a sheet of ice. Pavement still wet. Nearest station's at 29.5 degrees. Hopefully nothing too heavy still to come but we still have light showers around for another few hours.
  17. Regardless of how much precip is left, roads are going to be very icy area wide later. I would think salt on the roads has been washed away by the rain and temps will just get colder from here.
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