jm1220
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Everything posted by jm1220
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They do usually move east over time but sometimes they never happen at all. Probably the least predictable of the different features.
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I don’t like seeing the 10 trillion little vortmaxes ahead of the trough as well. Those spawn convection and string our storm out. We need for a main vortmax to consolidate.
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Gun to my head I’d say graze at this point. It’s not really an ideal setup for major snow-ridge is too far east and the block looks like it wants to suppress it too much. I’d want other models to jump on with major snow starting today.
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Definitely a good trend but it occludes before it really hits our area so we don’t get the goods S NJ does. The storm is starting to wind down by then.
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A lot of patchy coverage on lawns especially that get sun during the day. Upper 30s and fog is where you start really doing a number on the snowpack.
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When you see the maps on social media people are hyping up, that’s nothing.
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We’ve gotten snow but from storms that typically don’t favor us like the super SWFE on 1/25 and the clippers. Our bigger ticket storm types have failed just like last winter and ever since Jan 2022. We lucked out for once getting non-coastal storm snow.
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Maybe this one is different but flat as a pancake fits the tenor of this winter for any coastal storm.
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The block is crushing it south and the ridge axis is a little too far east for us. Can these change yes, but these are two big factors that would squelch any major storm chance.
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We all know they’ve been lacking down there and need more.
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It’s a fragile setup in a fast moving pattern. Lots of things can shift around and ruin the storm setup. It’s still 4 days out but this wouldn’t be the first whiff or OTS this or last winter.
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It’s always something. Some turd always in the punch bowl.
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My first post in this thread is a reminder this is still 4-5 days away. But no one should be shocked if another nice setup 4-5 days out turns to strung out/suppressed garbage. I’m done investing in these until we get some consistency within 100 hours.
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Down to 33.
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Hopefully coming down decent on the south shore, looks like some good echos there.
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Like it's laughing at us.
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Decent amount. I’d say it’s about what there was at home a week ago. Looks like maybe some good snow on the south shore-Rockaways and Long Beach.
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I’m so sad I’m missing my 1-2” tease on LI.
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Such a waste of a good storm. Could’ve been a HECS. Instead we get the 50 mile wide 1-2” tease on the north edge.
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I’m in Boston and I’ll miss whatever happens. Even here the snow’s starting to look old.
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Such a nice looking storm heading east. Too bad it’ll be a minor graze. Just can’t get amplification in the right spot anymore.
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What’s happened in central PA is definitely not a cycle unless it’s a very long term one. Like Bluewave mentioned the storms that really slam that area have essentially gone extinct.
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The I-88 corridor would be my perfect area as well. They get coastal storms as snow, some lake effect but not feet at a time and overall the best of winter. But other than snow very little to do or going on there.
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Brush your car off expectation, hopefully good. Plowable, will likely be disappointed.
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Well, I locked the thread, some asshole @Rjayunlocked it. I take no responsibility.
