jm1220

8 minutes ago, coastalplainsnowman said:

 

Just checking the NWS Upton observations.  9.9 Coney Island and 7.6 Bay Ridge? Was just scrolling up here and didn't see that mentioned, and those stand out against the other readings.  Those are pretty remarkable no?

Yeah, as soon as the band stopped making headway north in SE PA and headed mostly due east I knew I wasn't getting in on it but happy for the places that got relatively ripped off in the last storm. My 3" roughly is what was expected so I can't complain. 

Models for a couple days were showing a northern fronto band somewhere and the N trend stopped just short for me. But with the dynamics at play like Bluewave showed it's no surprise it was as insane as it got, and we saw 8-10" amounts with it in Ohio in the same narrow area. But where there's the crazy lift next to it there's subsidence and there wasn't especially much moisture with the storm to catch up elsewhere. The snow here overnight was little dust flakes that shows how little lift there was. When the crazy band pivoted away and subsidence ended, I was able to start catching up a little with the hangback snows and bigger flakes. 

15.5-16" on the season (there's part of one storm I missed here). Halfway roughly to average.

Still just a hair under 3", I'd say 2.8-2.9". Thankfully the street is wet and the existing snow looks good as new. Very little shoveling. 

Assuming I end with 3" that gets me to 15.5-16" on the season. Maybe 20" can happen if there's another storm at end of month. 

Have 3" new or a hair under on my deck. That's probably what I'll end with unless we get another good snow burst or two. Still light snow coming down-nice sized flakes vs the dust overnight. That'll help pile it up faster. Nice fluffy snow. I think Long Beach/Rockaways must have 8-9" at least.

4 minutes ago, dmillz25 said:

2.2” now here under heavy snow. Looks like the yellow echos are finally in the city. Southern bk is approaching 4”

Probably a different world on the south shore out to Jones Beach/Rockaways etc. Based on that Southern Queens, Nassau and Brooklyn might reach warning amounts. Still coming down there. 

4 minutes ago, Volcanic Winter said:

Think I’m going to be extremely lucky to snag even a half inch, have to laugh. Looks like a persistent dry slot right over northern Ocean. It’s barely moved from this area lol. 

I suppose this is penance for doing well in the Jan storms.

This'll likely be known for the 20 mile swath that kills it and everyone else around that gets skunked. This band stole all the dynamics. Models did hint at it. Guess we'll see what happens when this band goes east and we have this hangback snow. That's my one chance to make it to WWA criteria if this adds up somehow. These micro flakes ain't doing it. And an example of why ground temps alone have little to do with ratios. In the death band there are also huge dendrites that stack up because the lift is way better.

Maybe 0.5" on my table. Light tiny micro flakes. Guess it's better than total subsidence north of the band. 

Band inching toward the south shore. Man it's gonna be close. 

1 minute ago, RU848789 said:

4" otg as of 1.45 pm so we're at 4"/hr rates the last 30 min which is close to the most I've ever seen. If this somehow keeps up even at "just" 1-2"/hr for a few hours we'll get 8" or more!

Was clear for quite some time this north fronto band would be nuts. If only today's north trend could've gotten it 30 miles NE. 

Philly's WSW is in the pooper though I think.  

Light snow, colder surfaces and some paved are coated. 

Just now, LibertyBell said:

the only thing wrong about this storm is it's happening at night and moving too quickly, I expect all this to be over by sunrise.

We should have light hangback snow until 8-9am or so, that's what'll eventually give areas north of this band their 1-3".

2 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

or at least the same.... it would be nice to get a second 4" storm in the same week.... that would solidly raise this winter to a C- for me.

If you're in Oceanside you should get slammed. Yellows are almost to the beach. And to the west it is still edging north. Maybe it can eventually make it to the LIE. 

Just now, SBUWX23 said:

Still seems like things are ever so slightly inching north. 

I think at least Staten Island over to Long Beach/Jones Beach gets into it. If I was still in Long Beach it would be exciting, and awesome for them given how much the south shore skunk zone's been the last couple winters and in general. Up north of the LIE where I am... I doubt it but we'll see. Models all have some decent snow making it here later overnight and through good part of the AM so I'd think everyone gets a couple inches.

2 minutes ago, psv88 said:

It’s not our storm. Can’t get em all. 
 

Light snow and 31, not even a dusting though. 

The lighter stuff north of Harrisburg should pivot through here and give us a couple inches maybe. But that fronto band was how we had a chance at more than that. It'll be a nailbiter for the south shore or if it stays just off the beach.

Staten Island to Long Beach might be rocking soon. Flurries here. We'll see what happens. 

Harrisburg getting rocked. Trajectory on that band looks really good for over to around Elizabeth and the South Shore from there. Hoping for my backyard it can bump north a little more. 

We’ll see what happens in PHL. Under a warning but downtown is still at 40 (it will cool quickly when snow starts) and short range models have most snow near Allentown and along I-78. 

Some reports from Ohio up to 9” from the Pittsburgh thread. And still snowing (light) there. 

Some overachieving in E Ohio, some places already over 4”. That skinny band and nearby mean business. 

29 minutes ago, SBUWX23 said:

Makes no sense why N PA has more snow on this map then areas near the strongest frontogenesis 

Maybe some help from easterly flow and upslope? It’s been kinda consistent with the snow maxes in central PA. 

12 minutes ago, psv88 said:

City is still 40 degrees. Remarkable really 

We have snow cover to help radiate plus out of the UHI. 

7 minutes ago, WestBabylonWeather said:

in west babylon on Tuesday we got like 3"

different parts of the island got different amounts and it compacted

 

we may do better tonight then we did on Tuesday, will have a real snow feel and not the wet kind

If that’s all you got on Tue you have a really good shot at that. I won’t get 7.5” but hopefully 3-4” to refresh the pack for a couple days. Had a lot of melt today in the strong sun and temps over 40. Snow will also stick right away and none gets wasted to getting temps to freezing.  I’m down to 29 and looks like you’re 31-32.

6 minutes ago, Rmine1 said:

Aren’t you on north shore? 16” is crazy , considering I had maybe 5” here in Brightwaters. Maybe I read it wrong 

I ended with 7.5”. That off run gave me over a foot, I think 16” which was obviously way high. It’s really nowcast time to see where the banding sets up and heads through PA. 

Just now, MJO812 said:

I'm not worried. Mesos are beefing up the qpf.

Euro had a burp run at 6z as the last storm came in that gave me 16”. Not concerned whatsoever. 

Already down to 30 here. 

Watching the heavy band right around PIT and west from there argues that this has legs pretty far north for us.