jm1220

8 minutes ago, David-LI said:

euro 12z 

Interesting setup. Probably an inch or two type deal but nice refresher and possibly more with just a little better/sooner redevelopment. 

51 minutes ago, Krs4Lfe said:

Models punting the originally expected "good pattern" through first week of January. Onto the next week, and the next week, and I bet the week after that. Mild and warmth returns to most of CONUS except northeast starting next week. No sustained cold or snow for most of country. We might remain cold, but it'll be hard to snow with such persistent warm all around. Terrible look 

The cold will definitely take a break at some point, but it took a break in every good winter we’ve had. We don’t live in the Yukon. 

27 minutes ago, PhiEaglesfan712 said:

The January 26-27, 2011 snowstorm compares. That was an overnight snow, but I remember the intense thunder snow keeping me awake.

 

Yep for sure, that would be a close second. 

1 minute ago, hooralph said:

Legit trauma from 12/30/2000 in Boston. went from 9-14" to 0.0. Only bust I can recall in my life that left bare ground after a high end WSW. if you drove West on the Mass Pike it was 10" by Rt 95/128.

Yep, 00-01 was probably a tough one there. The big March 2001 blizzard was also huge just a few miles inland and fairly pedestrian in the city if I remember right. 

11 minutes ago, coastalplainsnowman said:

As I have said on here a few times, there have been bigger storms, colder storms, storms of longer duration, and storms with larger final totals for sure.  But I have never, ever, ever, seen anything approaching the rate of snow or lack of visibility that I witnessed during about 90 minutes at the peak of this storm.  Nothing before or after was even close.  Also, just incredible to think that this storm was now one quarter of a century ago.  Geez.

Yep, that storm is king for me of sheer intensity and thunder snow that morning. 

Patchy coverage here. My backyard still mostly covered. It's all about to turn rock hard. 

5 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

But he's always posted here consistently, even during the summer. I thought maybe he decided to take a break from the board for the summer/fall for a change, but now I'm more concerned since he didn't return for the start of the winter. Hopefully he's ok and will return to the board soon. I'll let you guys know if he messages me back. 

Same. @Allsnow is a good contributor. Hope he's well

Just now, psv88 said:

Oh please god no with the buckle up comments. I fucking hate social media types. They’ve ruined weather 

Only if you let them lol. Don't read them 

Was in Long Beach and can say they definitely had as much or more than at my house. Winter wonderland there. 

1 minute ago, psv88 said:

Picked up .7” overnight to end with 5.2”. Areas just to my south with 6-7” from that ocean effect snow. 
 

14” for the season. Great month. 

Looks like you’re still in a good spot for snow. It’s really south of the LIE that drops off. 

Just now, dWave said:

Measured about 3" in Bronx Park E 

4" in CPK isn't bad. I couldn't find any 4" spot around here. Anywhere I measured was fairly consistent 2.5" to 3".  Maybe areas to the south got into that ocean effect band?

SW Suffolk was getting hammered pretty good under those snow showers. Babylon has 7”. 

30 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

Really curious to see how this shakes out in the final map. After seeing all the reports this morning above 4" im thrilled that NNJ and NYC should all fall within the 3-6" range. Def gonna have to bring the 0-1 range back in the picture for Ocean Mercer and Monmouth it seems @Sey-Mour Snow

Going with 4.5” in Huntington Station. Thanks for everything! 

I’ll go with 4.5” final. A disappointment/underperformer but can’t win ‘em all. Brings me to 13” for the month. 

Not doing much of anything here, looks like this batch is favoring the south shore. I have maybe 4” now, haven’t measured. 

Just saw a 4" report from Oceanside. Guess the S Shore is doing well?

1 minute ago, winterwx21 said:

This batch we're getting now is mainly snow, so claims that it would be just sleet for the rest of the night were not correct. It's going to be fairly light though ... we won't even get close to the forecast amounts from early today. 

I wouldn't rule out a couple inches. This should linger for a while. Still hope IMBY I make it to warning amount (need 2.5"). Light stuff with this ocean effect but not adding up to much. 

In any event with the 3.5" now I have about 12" for the month which is awesome and still outside shot at 15" if we do well overnight.

Well... snow ending from this part-light stuff/flurries and 3.5" on my tabletop. We'll see what happens later. 

Just now, The 4 Seasons said:

I really hope in and around the city and NNJ gets to at least 3, thats all i want

HRRR is on some serious crack or there's still quite a bit to go for most of this subforum. 01z run just coming out has 0.70" liquid for my backyard, 0.55" for NYC and even 0.40" out by Morristown. Has a pretty good period of snow overhead by around midnight sparked by the stuff coming in from western NY and ends around 5am. 

3 minutes ago, wthrmn654 said:

Just measured a solid 4 inches from edge of garage 4-5 on ground already. 

Little over 3" here, I'd say 3.2". Dumping snow but this back edge should be here soon. Hopefully we see it filling back in overnight. 

Just now, Nibor said:

is this code? hop E full Y, what does it mean.

Who knows? It will forever be lost to history because it's been deleted. All we can do now is speculate and have it live on in our memories.   I get this is disappointing for a lot of this forum but there's a banter thread...

RAP has the same evolution as HRRR and amounts still to fall so it's not on its own. 

1 minute ago, winterwarlock said:

Well if the hrrr didnt get the initial batch right how can anyone trust it for the next several hours

Might be totally cracked out but who knows. 

Just under 3", snow picking up again. It's been all snow but inconsistent intensity. Heavy for a couple minutes then a lull. 

4 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said:

Ratios are not as good either as I thought they'd be.  POU has had .38 liquid, friend lives about 2 mi from the airport he has had only 4.9 so far, similar readings on LI it seems where its about 10 or 11:1.  I felt maybe 15 was possible especially up in the LHV

Probably just crappy snow growth caused by poor lift and the mid level warm layer. Another reason why those inflated Kuchera maps should be thrown in the trash. 

HRRR takes some of that precip in central PA and moves it east and refires it over the next few hours, snow lingers east of the city until 5-6am. Who knows how accurate it is but hope isn't over IMO for at least an advisory event in the city and parts of NJ. From West Milford to New Brunswick and east it has over 0.5" liquid still to fall after 0z and 0.7-0.8" for Suffolk. Someone out by Riverhead might see a foot. I doubt it will be here, some of these crap subsidence areas are surviving past the border. I'm hoping still to get the 7" I predicted last night. 

And that being said since the system is headed more SE now the sleet line should stop advancing-it’s already headed back west a little and snow should refire/linger through a good part of overnight. Still quite a bit of precip to go on the short range modeling especially from the city and east.