Indystorm

Lightning is also increasing on the ne, north, and nw sides of the system.

The westward moving clouds off to the se of the storm are from the ne/easterly shear which has helped cause the weakening of the storm. Once Delta continues to move nw into the Gulf that shear will lessen as it rounds the base of high pressure in the eastern gulf and enable strengthening to occur once again.

The resort city of Cancun has a population of 743,000. If this does become category five back out over the gulf I would think eyewall replacement cycles along with shear would be the best hope of any possible weakening as it approaches northern gulf coast. Even if it goes back to a three, Katrina did have category 5 surge due to its intensity over the gulf as has been mentioned. This looks to be a monster in the making wherever it travels.

So we have now exceeded 200,000 deaths in America due to COVID, a figure we weren't expected to reach until Election day. Now one model says we may hit nearly 400,000 deaths by the start of the new year if we maintain present behavior. And there are still many who think this is not a problem or will somehow go away on its own. I was startled to see a quote by Soren Kierkegaard from the early 19th century that seems strangely applicable to today. "There are two ways to be fooled. One is to believe what isn't true; the other is to refuse to believe what is true." Food for thought in our era of disinformation.

Pretty dark now here in Griffith. Storm moving in.

Don't PDS tornado watches automatically include high risk? Wondered about procedure for PDS severe.

Yeah, they had that tornado as well right downtown.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA 1208 PM CDT MON AUG 10 2020 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 1152 AM TSTM WND GST 2 WNW LE GRAND 42.02N 92.81W 08/10/2020 M106 MPH MARSHALL IA MESONET PERSONAL WEATHER STATION KIAMARSH15.

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA 1046 AM CDT MON AUG 10 2020 IAC015-099-125-127-153-169-181-101630- /O.CON.KDMX.SV.W.0144.000000T0000Z-200810T1630Z/ POLK IA-STORY IA-MARSHALL IA-MARION IA-JASPER IA-BOONE IA-WARREN IA- 1046 AM CDT MON AUG 10 2020 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1130 AM CDT FOR POLK...STORY...WESTERN MARSHALL...NORTHERN MARION...JASPER... EASTERN BOONE AND NORTHERN WARREN COUNTIES... AT 1045 AM CDT, SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES NORTH OF BOONE TO SAYLORVILLE LAKE TO 6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF VAN METER, MOVING EAST AT 70 MPH. THESE ARE VERY DANGEROUS STORMS. HAZARD...80 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE HEAVILY DAMAGED. EXPECT CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES. EXTENSIVE TREE DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... DES MOINES, AMES, WEST DES MOINES, ANKENY, URBANDALE, JOHNSTON, CLIVE, NEWTON, ALTOONA, PELLA, NORWALK, PLEASANT HILL, GRIMES, NEVADA, WINDSOR HEIGHTS, CARLISLE, BON

I wonder if these earlier storms from this morning in WI and now in ne IA will produce an outflow boundary which could be intercepted by the oncoming line from the Des Moines area later today to somewhat enhance tornado probabilities in the northern IL region, however small they may be at present thinking.

I was once told on here to follow the 700mb flow to ascertain where a storm complex would generally travel. As Purdue wx noted we have enough of a cap around northern IL to prevent junk convection. Derecho possibility anyone?

Got a new enhanced risk from Chi town westward to eastern IA per SPC homepage graphic.

Storms congealing now over nw IA and eastern S.D. will definitely be the ones to watch today as they rapidly move eastward and crash into all the heat and humidity this afternoon. Gonna be an interesting day. Will be curious about the new SPC update. I think the earlier slight risk was placed too far south in MO and IL.

mhttps://www.cnn.com/2020/07/31/us/indiana-student-covid-positive-school/index.html In my recent geographical stomping ground before my move north to the Calumet region.

Jackstraw, I was busy with a move from Fortville to Griffith and not following our wxboard much during that time. Sorry you had such a severe episode but are now recovering. Thoughts and prayers are with you and big thanks to courageous medical personnel.

Just saw figures from medical authorities that over 200,000 Americans could be killed by the virus by the time we reach November if things continue at present rate. That is one third the number of those killed from four years of the American Civil War. Wear a mask and socially distance yourself. Part of America's problem is our rugged sense of freedom and individualism. But unlimited freedom is anarchy. That's why we have laws requiring seat belts, traffic laws, insurance requirements, etc. The public good of the community takes precedence over individual freedom in some situations. This has been our historical precedent. And I am very worried about those who are suspicious of scientific findings. Yes, conclusions may change as new data warrant. But there is a sound scientific method and peer review in science of which I am deeply appreciative.

People are free to get the virus and possibly die if they want to, but not at my risk or expense. I recognize that some cannot wear masks for medical reasons. That is different. We are all in this together in my thinking. That is patriotism and love of country. I am pleased by the good vaccine news and hopeful that further extended testing will continue to prove safe and effective.

If I didn't know where this was I would have thought tornado warnings from a tropical system as well since the storms are moving to the nw from the se. Highly unusual for this date and location. Low topped cells but latest SPC meso indicates a few tornadoes have been reported and areas farther east could be in play as the LLJ ramps up this evening.

Had the enjoyment of seeing their act several times while traveling through Vegas on vacation out west.

Yeah, public health emergency declared in all of Cass County because of this. Really making the news down here. Wondering what Gov. Holcomb will say Friday on his update regarding either extension of stay at home or limited reopening. And Simon had planned to reopen their malls on a limited basis starting this weekend.

The virus may have been present here for a much longer time in the general asymptomatic population than originally thought, as some reports have indicated. It may have more recently mutated to increase its potency and virulence among humans than was previously the case. It's sort of like reminding ourselves that wall clouds can be rather prevalent, but the majority of wall clouds do not produce tornadoes.

MEG depicts the incongruity of this situation when they say that spotters will be needed Sunday while being sure to follow all CDC guidelines.

Read where Milwaukee originally had over 100 polling places for this election....now reduced to 5 because of shortage of staff. Inexusable attempt to take advantage of coronavirus to suppress the vote. Tremendously long lines.

I really can't believe from a public health perspective that Wisconsin is going ahead with this election tomorrow.

That is definitely the big scary news story here in the Indpls area this evening.