Indystorm

I think the guidelines are ten or less. We have even dispensed with board meetings for this period. I have a varied background. My major on my bachelor's degree from I.U. decades ago was public health education with a minor in earth science, and I eventually got training in theology and became a minister. Go figure.

Very sad to hear of this practice and theology. Our church has followed the governor's orders and halted public worship. We communicate with e mail including my sermons each week since we do not have live streaming and a fairly elderly congregation. We are United Methodist, and John Wesley's three simple rules were, First, do no harm. Do good, And stay in love with God. You can't be a witness when you are harming your neighbors by exposing them to a potentially deadly virus.

Good idea to help maintain one's mental health in all this since social distancing might be dragging on through May and not just the end of April. Our Governor Holcomb has just said two weeks more for stay home advisory but he has already cancelled collective school meetings for the rest of the academic year, so I think his comment is just a way of softening the blow until the time comes to extend the shelter in place once again timewise.

Indiana's Governor and State School Supt. have just announced this afternoon that all K-12 public and private schools must continue with e learning to the end of the school year.

Now 3873 COVID 19 deaths in America as we enter the month of April, more deaths than during Katrina, 9/11, or Antietam, the bloodiest day of the Civil War.

Cheers to you and your doctor, Jackstraw, for being proactive. I am one of the seniors on this board and have my next wellness check in May following one in December. Have been ok with no symptoms so far. And Hoosier, I have found it is easier to get toilet paper at CVS than at my local IGA.

223 deaths reported Wed. in America....a new high for a single day.

Good question, particularly with the set up coming for this weekend here in the Midwest. I think if you were a journalist, photographer, scientist or tv film crew person things might go easier with you than if you were just chasing for the heck of it. But I don't know.

If this has already been discussed somewhere in this thread, please excuse me. Wed. March 25 USA Today has an article entitled "Social Distancing or Tornado Shelter. Which do you pick? It mentions that Newcastle OK has a city owned shelter that holds 1000 people but it is closed for now. Obviously I think an oncoming tornado poses a much higher risk than coronavirus for the length of time people might be in a shelter for the duration of the tornado, but what about during recovery time if the shelter is used to house those whose homes have been destroyed. Interesting article especially since we are going into the active spring tornado season.

Just read that Waffle House has closed over 400 restaurants. PUBLISHED: MAR 25TH, 2020 - 4:30PM (EDT)UPDATED: MAR 25TH, 2020 - 4:32PM (EDT) ATLANTA (WXIA) — You know it's bad when Waffle House is closed. Waffle House has been a part of life in the south and other parts of the U.S. since its founding in suburban Atlanta in early September 1955. The diner-style restaurant quickly spread across much of the southern United States, and is noted for always being open, with nearly 2,000 locations, serving breakfast, lunch and dinner at all times of the day and night. They started using the Waffle House Index during natural disasters, particularly for hurricanes, in 2004. The Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) even began using it to determine how bad things were in particular areas. In 2011, former FEMA director Craig Fugate mentioned what he termed the "Waffle House Index," as a measure of this. "The Waffle House test just doesn't tell us how quickly a business might rebound — it also tells how the larger community is faring," said a FEMA blog post from 2011.

Well, I tried to get out and walk a little bit for some exercise this late afternoon. Went to Flat Fork Creek park just a mile west of me. I could barely find a parking spot and paved trails were like Disney world during holiday time. Needless to say I didn't walk very far before deciding to turn around and go home to avoid the throngs of people. And we in Indiana are supposed to shelter in place except for some exercise? Too risky for me at this time of day even if it was outdoors.

Mesoscale Discussion 0230 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0705 PM CDT Tue Mar 24 2020 Areas affected...northern AL...southern TN...northwestern GA Concerning...Tornado Watch 61... Valid 250005Z - 250100Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 61 continues. SUMMARY...A new convective watch is possible to the east of Tornado Watch #61. A tornado risk will continue this evening for portions of northern AL and southern middle TN. DISCUSSION...Trends in KHTX VAD show further intensification of the low-level wind profile during the past 1-2 hours. 0-1 km SRH has increased from around 300 m2/s2 to over 600 m2/s2. Surface analysis indicates the area with the lowest temperature/dewpoint spreads (10 deg F) is in the counties adjacent to the TN border in northern AL. Farther south, warmer temperatures have resulted in spreads in the 15-20 deg F range which would lessen but not nullify tornado potential. Given the strengthening low-level shear for mesocyclone organization/persistence, it seems plausible the tornado risk will eventually include the eastern counties of Tornado Watch #61 later this evening. An additional convective watch issuance is possible to the east of the ongoing watch during the next hour or so

That TN cell appears to be a right mover at the present. Not good for Chattanooga environs if this keeps up.

Hackleburg cell now tor warned

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0535 PM CDT Tue Mar 24 2020 Areas affected...northern AL and southern middle TN Concerning...Tornado Watch 61... Valid 242235Z - 250000Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 61 continues. SUMMARY...Tornado potential will likely maximize through 8pm CDT near the AL/TN border. A strong tornado is possible. DISCUSSION...Trends in KHTX VAD data show a strengthening of the wind field in the 2-3km layer during the past 1-2 hours. This trend seemed to be necessary in order for more organized low-level mesocyclone development. The intensification of flow is resulting in around 300 m2/s2 0-1km SRH per observed storm motions. Surface observations show temperature/dewpoint spreads around 10 deg F and reduced mixing compared to areas farther south. It continues to appear that the corridor for greatest tornado risk will focus near the AL/TN border with the stronger updrafts/supercells through the early evening.

.A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CDT FOR SOUTH CENTRAL LIMESTONE...NORTHWESTERN MORGAN AND NORTHEASTERN LAWRENCE COUNTIES... AT 642 PM CDT, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR COURTLAND, OR 9 MILES NORTH OF MOULTON, MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. HAZARD...TORNADO AND HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A FUNNEL CLOUD. IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... DECATUR, ATHENS, TRINITY, COURTLAND, NORTH COURTLAND, HILLSBORO, CHALYBEATE SPRINGS, CADDO, WHEELER AND BASHAM.

Tuscumbia and Muscle Shoals area under tor wrn now for rotation. Storm could be cycling.

And I worry that the cell may be headed for the Florence/Muscle Shoals area as well in the near future.

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL 534 PM CDT TUE MAR 24 2020 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HUNTSVILLE ALABAMA HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... SOUTHWESTERN COLBERT COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN ALABAMA... * UNTIL 600 PM CDT. * AT 534 PM CDT, A LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO WAS LOCATED OVER TISHOMINGO, OR NEAR TISHOMINGO STATE PARK, MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION. IMPACT...YOU ARE IN A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. FLYING DEBRIS MAY BE DEADLY TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DESTROYED. CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE TO HOMES, BUSINESSES, AND VEHICLES IS LIKELY AND COMPLETE DESTRUCTION IS POSSIBLE. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... CHEROKEE, RED ROCK, MALONE, POSEY LOOP, MYNOT, MT HESTER, SRYGLEY CHURCH, NEW BETHEL, CROOKED OAK, ALLSBORO, AND MAUD.

Both currently warned tor cells are moving into an area of higher helicity.

First tor warning of this episode this evening. BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 522 PM CDT TUE MAR 24 2020 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... CENTRAL TISHOMINGO COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI... NORTHEASTERN PRENTISS COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI... * UNTIL 545 PM CDT. * AT 522 PM CDT, DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED OVER BURTON, OR 9 MILES WEST OF TISHOMINGO STATE PARK, MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH. HAZARD...TORNADO. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION. IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... TISHOMINGO STATE PARK, TISHOMINGO, BURTON, MIDWAY, PADEN, OLDHAM, MINGO, HOLCUT, BLOODY SPRINGS, PETERTOWN, NEIL AND CARTER BRANCH.

70/40 probs for tors this evening

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 61 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 305 PM CDT Tue Mar 24 2020 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Northern Alabama Northeastern Mississippi The southern half of western and middle Tennessee * Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 305 PM until 1000 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Scattered supercell development is expected in the next couple of hours from western Tennessee and northeastern Mississippi into northern Alabama and southern middle Tennessee. The storm environment will be favorable for tornadoes, including a strong tornado or two, in addition to damaging winds and large hail. Storms will spread eastward through late evening. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 95 statute miles east and west of a line from 85 miles north of Huntsville AL to 55 miles south southwest of Muscle Shoals AL. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).