Indystorm

Chicago area point forecasts show 50% chance of t storms after 10 p.m. tonight. Would this be from storms moving in from the nw or from the boundary to our south moving back ne as a quasi WF?

That ten inch hail report depth is from Brookston IN just north of Lafayette from a storm this afternoon. May be measured in some drifting, but crops and leaves were devastated in the area.

Yeah, that outflow boundary from noonday storms around Chicago metro might be strong enough to keep the nw/se axis of svr storms this Sat. eve a bit sw of Chicago area proper. Will have to see what happens. But mid week does look like a ring of fire scenario around here as has been stated.

Storms might lay down some good boundaries for later this evening in Chi town area. We'll have plenty of time to recover. These mid day storms moved a bit farther east than I initially expected.

Thanks for the well wishes Hoosier and IWXwx. Since I grew up in Hobart it's like it's around the world and back again. Now if we can just get past coronovirus with a vaccine or effective treatment I will be most happy and thankful. In the meantime I intend to get out hiking locally and watching the weather.

Yep, it looks like this heat dome is going to stick around for awhile this month with only minor fluctuations. I have moved from central IN up to Griffith to keep an eye on our moderator Hoosier. lol Actually I have moved up here to be closer to family in my retirement five minutes away in Highland. But I will miss sending in reports to all of you from the ne side of Indpls metro as I have been doing for the past six years.

Helicity is 300 to 400 m2/s2 in the area of DeKalb approaching higher levels near the lakeshore. LL lapse rates are very good just to the south of the area.

If I didn't know where this was I would have thought tornado warnings from a tropical system as well since the storms are moving to the nw from the se. Highly unusual for this date and location. Low topped cells but latest SPC meso indicates a few tornadoes have been reported and areas farther east could be in play as the LLJ ramps up this evening.

Had the enjoyment of seeing their act several times while traveling through Vegas on vacation out west.

Central IL and IN are under marginal risk this Sat. evening with storms starting to fire in west central IL west of Springfield and Lincoln. Let's see what develops. Right now they are elevated on the north side of the front....Springfield 76/49 Salem 78/64 SPC not currently expecting to issue a watch due to sparse nature of convection, but damaging wind gusts and some hail may occur.

Yeah, public health emergency declared in all of Cass County because of this. Really making the news down here. Wondering what Gov. Holcomb will say Friday on his update regarding either extension of stay at home or limited reopening. And Simon had planned to reopen their malls on a limited basis starting this weekend.

I've only seen a confirmed EF 0 tornado that touched down in Dyer IN on May 27, 2019. A nearby theater was evacuated from that one and I saw the tornado to my west. Your story sounds too close for comfort.

But I remember following those long track supercells that hit on March 12, 2006 that produced two tornadoes in Springfield.

Nice shelf cloud

I might get a garden variety t storm around midnight or so down here in central IN. 72/51 here now this evening.

...Midwest... Strong large-scale forcing for ascent will spread into the mid-MS Valley region Tuesday afternoon as exit region of upper jet shifts across IA. Diffluent high-level flow should overspread this region which should aid scattered thunderstorms ahead of the front from MO, north to near the surface low. Latest short-range model guidance/CAMs are fairly aggressive in developing scattered deep convection, possibly supercellular, within an increasingly sheared regime. While low-level moisture is initially a bit dry, rapid boundary-layer moistening is expected across MO into IL ahead of the wind shift. This should allow substantial buoyancy to evolve that would support potentially organized supercells. Large hail, damaging winds, and a few tornadoes are possible with pre-frontal supercells.

Based on current Monday afternoon 3k NAM and HRRR if I were chasing Tuesday I would focus on late afternoon from west central IL to the Peoria region for possible tornadoes.

Hmm.....

The virus may have been present here for a much longer time in the general asymptomatic population than originally thought, as some reports have indicated. It may have more recently mutated to increase its potency and virulence among humans than was previously the case. It's sort of like reminding ourselves that wall clouds can be rather prevalent, but the majority of wall clouds do not produce tornadoes.

Right now SPC has a marginal risk on Tuesday April 28 for IL but says in the discussion that severe probs may need to be increased for the Midwest if instability increases in the area.

Surprise for April 25 here in sw IN Time Location County State Lat Lon Comments 1825 5 NNW MOUNT VERNON POSEY IN 3800 8792 LATE REPORT. BRIEF TOUCHDOWN NORTHWEST OF MOUNT VERNON NEAR COPPERLINE ROAD AND BASE ROAD INTERSECTION. (PAH)

Skilling mentioned this possible threat several days ago. Was concerned about the system's amplitude.