Indystorm

Waycross could be under threat shortly if the storm maintains its intensity and doesn't deviate right into the Okie Swamp.

I hope so, but I worry that kinematics will overcome thermodynamics.

And take a look at SHV radar loop to see what the extreme helicity is doing to the storms in that area....

And if the supercell continues northeast on this heading I do have to worry about Natchez MS in the not too distant future.

Getting worried about Alexandria

New cells firing to the nw of our monster.

Hoping for the best at Fort Polk area

Insane helicity

So far the cap is saving DFW metro, but still concerning as Brandon mentioned regarding Denton county.

Best helicity is a bit east of Brett in OK and not co -located with good mid level and low level lapse rates .But we'll see what happens.

Look at that surging outflow boundary on FDR radar approaching Wichita Falls and extending back ne.

Ardmore is 75/66/ Dews are in the low 70's farther south and I would still favor an area south of the Red River if cap can break.

Low level lapse rates are improving just west of the metroplex as temps rise. Cap seems breakable as I look at 700 mb.

Yeah, gotta get those parcels to rise.

Great helicity values for the tor warned storms sw of Shreveport in TX.

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=local-Wichita_Falls-02-24-0-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined

Nice clearing rapidly moving in from the west on satellite.

Keep abreast of weather for the metro later today. It all depends on whether or not storms initially form to the west of you. The environmental parameters are indicative of the possibility of strong tornadoes.

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK 1128 PM CDT TUE APR 21 2020 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... EAST CENTRAL COMANCHE COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA... SOUTHWESTERN GRADY COUNTY IN CENTRAL OKLAHOMA... NORTHWESTERN STEPHENS COUNTY IN SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA... * UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT. * AT 1127 PM CDT, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED 4 MILES EAST OF STERLING, MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. HAZARD...TORNADO AND TENNIS BALL SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION. IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... MARLOW, RUSH SPRINGS, BRAY AND STERLING.

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK 851 PM CDT TUE APR 21 2020 OKC009-039-129-149-220230- /O.CON.KOUN.SV.W.0091.000000T0000Z-200422T0230Z/ WASHITA OK-ROGER MILLS OK-CUSTER OK-BECKHAM OK- 851 PM CDT TUE APR 21 2020 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 930 PM CDT FOR WESTERN WASHITA...SOUTHEASTERN ROGER MILLS...SOUTHWESTERN CUSTER AND NORTHEASTERN BECKHAM COUNTIES... AT 851 PM CDT, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 4 MILES NORTHWEST OF ELK CITY, MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH. THE LARGEST HAIL IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER THE ELK CITY AREA TOWARD CANUTE AND BURNS FLAT. HAZARD...TENNIS BALL SIZE HAIL AND 70 MPH WIND GUSTS. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL DAMAGE TO ROOFS, SIDING, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES. EXPECT CONSIDERABLE TREE DAMAGE. WIND DAMAGE IS ALSO LIKELY TO MOBILE HOMES, ROOFS, AND OUTBUILDINGS. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... ELK CITY, CLINTON, BURNS FLAT, DILL CITY, CANUTE, FOSS, FOSS RESERVOIR, STAFFORD AND BERLIN.

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK 813 PM CDT TUE APR 21 2020 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... SOUTHERN ROGER MILLS COUNTY IN WESTERN OKLAHOMA... WEST CENTRAL CUSTER COUNTY IN WESTERN OKLAHOMA... NORTHEASTERN BECKHAM COUNTY IN WESTERN OKLAHOMA... * UNTIL 915 PM CDT. * AT 813 PM CDT, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES EAST OF REYDON, MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. HAZARD...TWO INCH HAIL AND 70 MPH WIND GUSTS. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL DAMAGE TO ROOFS, SIDING, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES. EXPECT CONSIDERABLE TREE DAMAGE. WIND DAMAGE IS ALSO LIKELY TO MOBILE HOMES, ROOFS, AND OUTBUILDINGS. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... CHEYENNE, HAMMON, REYDON, STRONG CITY, MOOREWOOD, ROLL, BERLIN AND DEMPSEY.

Delayed payback for spring 2012 lol

Purvis....2200 pop/ about 15 miles south of Hattiesburg

And will make for good educational comparisons.....at least up to this point in time.

Winds are backed se at Galveston 77/73