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hawkeye_wx

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Everything posted by hawkeye_wx

  1. hawkeye_wx
    The storm just off the east coast today is expected to drop from the 990s to the 960s in only twelve hours.
  2. hawkeye_wx
    We reached 59º yesterday, as models suggested. However, the two previous days, and also today, we've been several degrees short of the expected high. It had looked like we were done with 30s, but today we're stuck at only 34º.
  3. hawkeye_wx
    I like to see people try to forecast winter, but the skill just isn't there. You may as well flip a coin, but err on the warm side.
  4. hawkeye_wx
    A couple robins also showed up here today. The last of the January glacier is finally melting off of the lawn. That glacier was pretty resilient. Because the January snowfall was glazed in ice, which make measuring future snow very easy, I left my snow boards deep under the snow. They are just now emerging.
  5. hawkeye_wx
    Their March temperature outlook is mild and great. However, their 3-month outlook has the upper midwest at only average, which means they think April/May will be cold. I'd rather have a cold March and mild late spring.
  6. hawkeye_wx
    Today was better than yesterday, but we still under-performed by a fair amount, only reaching about 44º.
  7. hawkeye_wx
    Only 1.7" fell in my yard this month. That single snowfall, on Feb 12, was the only measurable snow in the entire month.
  8. hawkeye_wx
    The Euro has trended much farther south with the midweek system. All the heavy rain has been moved to the Tennessee Valley/deep South.
  9. hawkeye_wx
    I try to be as accurate as possible. Often, I wait 8 or more hours to clear my snow board because I don't want to feel like I'm just trying to win a spotter competition. When there is wind and the snow is drifting, I often end up measuring less than surrounding spotters.
  10. hawkeye_wx
    It appears a progressive northern stream will keep much, if not all, of the active weather and precip south and east of the upper midwest over the next couple weeks. The only thing to look forward to is a mild weekend.
  11. hawkeye_wx
    C-
  12. hawkeye_wx
    That's exactly what I thought. At first glance, it looks like your typical "southern Iowa is mild, northern Iowa is cold behind the front(or still stuck with deep snow)" map, but then you realize the "cold" is 60º.
  13. hawkeye_wx
    This was the temp map three years ago. Ottumwa nearly hit 80º, which is insane for February.
  14. hawkeye_wx
    Models are now focusing on the lead system, tracking it a bit farther north. Unfortunately, while we are pretty cold now, the cold will be gone when the lead system arrives.
  15. hawkeye_wx
    Meanwhile, the Euro shows a moisture-starved clipper.
  16. hawkeye_wx
    Models are all over the place next week with both track and type of system.
  17. hawkeye_wx
    I'm itching for some lightning/thunder, but the temp was stuck at 34º all day.
  18. hawkeye_wx
    -11 is tame for Dubuque. If you take away the 29th (leap year day), -11 was the mildest February record low in Dubuque. Yesterday's record low is -25. Remember, only two weeks ago, last year, Dubuque hit -31. Dubuque's record low on March 6th is still -11.
  19. hawkeye_wx
    Dubuque was able to set a new record this morning for the same reason. Strangely, while Dubuque's old record for today was only -11º, which seems pretty mild, Cedar Rapids' record today is -27º.
  20. hawkeye_wx
    We could definitely use some fresh snow. We are down to a few inches of dirty glacier.
  21. hawkeye_wx
    Models show a potent system streaking into the nw part of the region on Sunday. Southern Minnesota looks like the bulls-eye. The system then weakens as it heads east into the lakes.
  22. hawkeye_wx
    For several days, the GFS has been hinting at a potential system as we approach mid month. The Euro is finally catching on. This morning's run has a widespread snow-to-mix overrunning event, not unlike the one we experienced a couple weeks ago.
  23. hawkeye_wx
    Our low temp was in the upper 30s and we're already in the 40s today, so the good snowpack is taking a hit.
  24. hawkeye_wx
    What the GFS is showing this morning will probably vanish on future runs. It feels like a flukey run. Models are generally just showing a strong cold front sweeping through the midwest. This is the first model run that shows a flattening of the fropa with a nice wave or two riding along the front. I'd have to see more models doing this, and stick with it, before I'd get excited.
  25. hawkeye_wx
    I saw some sun today.
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