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hawkeye_wx

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Everything posted by hawkeye_wx

  1. 4" size hail reported in far southeast Iowa. Yikes!
  2. Monday and Tuesday could be pretty brutal for mid April. It looks like a mid-winter map.
  3. I just experienced two rounds of hail up to 5/8" diameter. It was fun to see that again because we just don't get much hail here and rarely larger than pea size. We got lucky as the two large hail cores missed just north and south.
  4. Large hail (golfball+) is hitting the northeast side of Cedar Rapids. Another cell is about to hit me. I sure hope we don't get that shit.
  5. The front ended up being faster than models originally predicted, so just about our entire day has been cold. We have fallen to the mid 30s as light rain moves in. Tuesday will likely be the warmest day of the year (70s to near 80), but it will be followed by more cold.
  6. There appears to be a pretty awful (cold) pattern settling in when we flip to April. Let's hope it is only several days and not half the month.
  7. The Weather Channel was covering the Ohio flooding when I woke up this morning.
  8. We should be getting a lot more data for this country over the next couple weeks(positive/negative tests, fatalities, etc). If we start getting more data that suggests the death rate is similar to the flu, or even a bit higher, there will be immense pressure to start sending people back to work.
  9. Obviously, we won't know how all of this will play out until it does, but my biggest fear continues to be the economic devastation we are inflicting on the country. If this goes on for more than a few weeks, it could get very bad.
  10. I wouldn't count out a bit of thunder around here on Thursday.
  11. The rest of the month looks active, but kinda crappy. Next weekend looks cold.
  12. I went out to eat for lunch. The restaurant was less busy than it typically would be at noon on Saturday.
  13. Winter got out ahead of the rush and canceled its season a few months ago.
  14. The 12z Euro is north and stronger with the weekend snow system. The UK looks similar.
  15. I like to see people try to forecast winter, but the skill just isn't there. You may as well flip a coin, but err on the warm side.
  16. The Euro has trended much farther south with the midweek system. All the heavy rain has been moved to the Tennessee Valley/deep South.
  17. It appears a progressive northern stream will keep much, if not all, of the active weather and precip south and east of the upper midwest over the next couple weeks. The only thing to look forward to is a mild weekend.
  18. Models are now focusing on the lead system, tracking it a bit farther north. Unfortunately, while we are pretty cold now, the cold will be gone when the lead system arrives.
  19. Meanwhile, the Euro shows a moisture-starved clipper.
  20. Models are all over the place next week with both track and type of system.
  21. Models show a potent system streaking into the nw part of the region on Sunday. Southern Minnesota looks like the bulls-eye. The system then weakens as it heads east into the lakes.
  22. For several days, the GFS has been hinting at a potential system as we approach mid month. The Euro is finally catching on. This morning's run has a widespread snow-to-mix overrunning event, not unlike the one we experienced a couple weeks ago.
  23. What the GFS is showing this morning will probably vanish on future runs. It feels like a flukey run. Models are generally just showing a strong cold front sweeping through the midwest. This is the first model run that shows a flattening of the fropa with a nice wave or two riding along the front. I'd have to see more models doing this, and stick with it, before I'd get excited.
  24. Will the warm flip back to cold again(and then back and back and back) or is the warm going to stick? Last winter lasted five weeks. Maybe this winter will last two weeks.
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