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hawkeye_wx

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Everything posted by hawkeye_wx

  1. hawkeye_wx
    Even tonight's minor system was a dud here in Cedar Rapids. I only picked up 0.7".
  2. hawkeye_wx
    This is the latest HRRR for wave 2. Yikes!
  3. hawkeye_wx
    With wave 2 going weak and east, it appears my snow total from this dud will be a measly 1".
  4. hawkeye_wx
    00z Euro
  5. hawkeye_wx
    It looks like I only got about an inch out of this.
  6. hawkeye_wx
    Yep. We needed a few things to go right, but instead they all went wrong. Oh well. At least it was interesting to follow for a week. Maybe we'll have better fortune over the next month.
  7. hawkeye_wx
    The snow/sleet line is on top of Cedar Rapids at the moment. The far north side is getting all snow while I am still all sleet.
  8. hawkeye_wx
    I'm a couple miles west of downtown Cedar Rapids and it has been raining here for quite a while. I certainly wasn't expecting 4+ hours of freezing rain. There are a few pingers, but it's mostly rain. Everything is glazed in ice and icicles are dangling from things like the bird feeder.
  9. hawkeye_wx
    I'm curious why the CAMs (nam/hrrr) are so much farther nw with the wave 2 defo zone than the globals.
  10. hawkeye_wx
    Now the ICON has gone back nw a bit and stronger with wave 2.
  11. hawkeye_wx
    This is a difficult forecast for my area as well. Models are trending nw a bit with the snow/sleet line this evening and overnight. Frankly, it's looking like Cedar Rapids may end up with a bunch of sleet, which sucks. Regarding wave #2, while the globals have trended southeast, the CAMs continue to insist on a farther nw track of the deformation zone, right through Iowa. My guess is I will get very little snow tonight and maybe 2-3" tomorrow.
  12. hawkeye_wx
    Jeez, models.
  13. hawkeye_wx
    Southeast and weak with wave 2, yes, but also juiced and nw with wave 1. It actually has Cedar Rapids/Iowa City getting nothing as the waves split the area.
  14. hawkeye_wx
    The GFS has finally juiced up wave #1, joining the other models.
  15. hawkeye_wx
    Cedar Rapids has hit 57º this afternoon.
  16. hawkeye_wx
    The HRRR is also robust with wave #1. Some models have certainly been showing a brief shot of snow (1-3") in part of Iowa, but this several-inches thing is new, so I'm not sure how much to believe it.
  17. hawkeye_wx
    Woulda been nice to get a solid consensus this morning instead of more spread.
  18. hawkeye_wx
    Yeah, I forgot about the first wave. That's a bit of a mystery, though. A couple models have nothing here from the first wave while the Canadian and Euro show a decent slug of precip passing through.
  19. hawkeye_wx
    12z Canadian and UK are both southeast and faster/weaker. Both models have removed anything significant for Iowa. My area is still on the nw edge of the snow on the GFS. For us, it's down to the Euro and NAM.
  20. hawkeye_wx
    We are about 35º warmer than at the same time yesterday morning.
  21. hawkeye_wx
    I did not realize until now that our temp Saturday will be that low. Dry snow and strong wind will make it tough to measure.
  22. hawkeye_wx
    00z Euro
  23. hawkeye_wx
    00z UK only moved nw a little. The second wave is still mostly a MO/IL/seWI event. Far e/se IA gets clipped with a few inches. This is yet another model that has mostly lost the first-wave precip in Iowa.
  24. hawkeye_wx
    The most amazing thing about this? Models actually show snow falling during daylight on Saturday when I can see it. I didn't think that was possible.
  25. hawkeye_wx
    Much more robust presentation.
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