hawkeye_wx
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Everything posted by hawkeye_wx
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997 mb now. This system could have a good night if it can fire some deep convection and keep the surface center under it.
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The convection really likes the area well south of the center. It has been stuck there for two days.
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The surface center can now be seen to the sw of Grand Cayman, where some new convection is bubbling up.
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This system's convection keeps shifting south. The broad, weak low center still appears to be north of the convection.
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The morning visible loop suggests there is a surface circulation centered near Grand Cayman.
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I picked up another 1.58" of rain overnight, boosting my 2-day total to 2.97". The next week looks cold. The late weekend system doesn't look like a big deal for eastern Iowa. Much of the energy/moisture should remain farther west.
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The warm front got stuck over southeast Iowa, so Cedar Rapids failed to get out of the 50s.
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A band of good cells trained through Cedar Rapids overnight and dropped 1.35" of rain in my yard. It's nice to hear heavy rain and thunder again. Another inch could fall later as the cold front fires up.
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New pass still at 953 mb.
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952 mb per dropsonde.
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As impressive as this is, it is also positioned inside of a big upper trough.
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Wow, I didn't even realize another recon was right there, on the way into the eye.
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I think this thing is going for cat 4... very impressive.
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It appears Epsilon continues to strengthen. A ring of deep convection has filled in around an increasingly-circular-and-smooth eye.
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The new recon pass dropsonde suggests either 954 or 956 mb, so it continues to drop. This has been an amazing process to watch.... upper low -> warm core -> nearly major hurricane.
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We are now expecting thunderstorms Wednesday and 70s Thursday... quite a week.
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I think the 9" report location near the Des Moines NWS office also received 1.5" yesterday, so that's >10" in two days in mid October. Now, watch the same location get <10" total from tomorrow through the end of January.
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I finished with 4.4 inches from 0.27" liquid. It's turning into wet slop now.
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4" here now.
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9" now being reported just north of Des Moines where the heavy band stalled for hours.
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I am up to 3.3" now, so almost 2" in 30 minutes.
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The bright returns on radar have slowly sagged south of me, so it'll be interesting to see how quickly this heavy stuff tapers off. There is still decent snow going back west for a couple hours.
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2" here now, another 0.5" in ten minutes.
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1.5" here, still dumping. The pavement is now being covered.
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There are reports of 2-4" already under the stationary band near Des Moines. It must be pretty heavy. There is heavy snow moving into Cedar Rapids now as well. It is now moderate here at my house and everything is whitening up.
