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hawkeye_wx

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Everything posted by hawkeye_wx

  1. I got a few grauple flurries a while ago, but now waiting for the atmosphere to saturate. Iowa City is receiving solid snow now.
  2. Already up to 8" from Lincoln spotters. This image is from the NWS in Omaha.
  3. It certainly does not look to become boring at all around here following the current storm. While I want my yard to get clobbered, it'd also be nice if areas farther into the lakes could get something good.
  4. The morning models are showing a clear trend of placing a sharp drop-off around Cedar Rapids/Iowa City as the storm's deep moisture source gets cut off. Like you, I'm just hoping for 6" now.
  5. It's the same here. It'd be nice to get something higher than 10:1 so we can at least reach 6".
  6. The GFS has gone from one of the wet models to one of the driest for my area. The HRRR is now the wettest.
  7. My final call for Cedar Rapids is 5-8", a bit less than what the NWS and locals are saying.
  8. Weatherbell really needs to tweak their Kuchera algorithm to bring it down to Earth. Their current maps always show nonsense totals.
  9. The NAM is a mystery. The 12z had nothing in Waterloo (IA). The 00z has nearly a foot in Waterloo. It has heavier snow well to the northwest of Cedar Rapids than it does in Cedar Rapids or Iowa City.
  10. And now the NAM is drying up the snow for east-central Iowa just as badly as the Euro and HRRR. For the last few days it has been all about how far north or south it would track. I did not expect to have to worry about the precip shield crapping out this far west.
  11. The 10:1 HRRR map shows the exact same feature as the 12z Euro. The precip shield begins to quickly dry up as it moves up into east-central Iowa. This is looking more like a garden-variety moderate storm for Cedar Rapids.
  12. We were just a bit too far nw. We got into the general heavy precip shield, but the very heavy, enhanced band set up just east/southeast of Cedar Rapids. I recorded 10".
  13. Another burst of snow very early this morning boosted my wave 1 total to 2.6". That is a nice total considering it had been crapping out on the models and even once it began the radar looked like a total dud. Fortunately, the tail juiced up and passed over east-central IA. My area ended up being the winner.
  14. It's a shame a strong system with a favorable track has to be in full weaken mode as it moves through. For my area, it's just a question of how quickly the snow band weakens. I'm going with 5-7" here.
  15. I picked up a nice 2.3" of fluff early tonight.
  16. I was born in 1974 and I've never measured 12" of snow, so the stat is legit.
  17. Jeez, the Euro only drops 4.5" on Cedar Rapids now from the big system (using 10:1).
  18. If the snow is going to be a bit wet, and with some good wind and drifting, I know the ratio in my yard will be crap. 6-9" seems like a good guess here at this point.
  19. It does have a secondary defo zone that completes the storm for northern Illinois. Michigan gets hosed, though.
  20. 12z Euro really craps out the precip shield as you head east of Iowa. East of Chicago? Yikes!
  21. Similar to the 00z Canadian, it leaves the stretched-out energy hanging over our region.
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