I think im staying up to see this one through. Starting at about 10 degrees colder than the models showed will be a sight. May make a run at negative digits tomorrow morning with a 30 to 40 degree drop by sunrise.
Surprisingly im already down to 34 under clear skies. Also reading from the TN forum there seems to be a bit of a surplus in moisture with this front and the orientation is a bit better with the front currently. There are reports of 20 degree temp drops in 1 hour also. This is some serious stuff fellas.
The latest hrrr was a nice hit for the mountains. The euro is back to showing paltry numbers for everyone.
This will be fascinating to see evolve out in real time as in actual air temperatures and precipitation. The euro has been warmer than every other model and drier than every other model....
Yeah the modeling has been really behind on this arctic front and with the moisture behind this front also. I think we see some very impressive high lows and lows this weekend.
Absolutely! No two ways around this arctic blast being historical. Just look at the NWS map of all the advisors, watches, and warnings across a large portion of the country.
I absolutely agree with all the above. We are kind of sitting similar to you but I think this is such a dynamic complex system that just about all the models are having a tough time with this thing.
Euro upped totally, gfs looks decent. I think we all see some flakes but the real news maker is the cold and wind that is going to blow through here tomorrow morning.
A big improvement on the euro across the border counties. After several runs of drying up the moisture this run brings back some. Maybe we are finally seeing a middle ground with the models.