Looks like we are going to see some heavy rainfall tonight especially in the SW mountains. It's moving in now. More rainfall. This pattern is completely opposite from last year.
Had a high of only 75 degrees. Again well below average and if Tropical storm Erin stays away we could well end up well below average for August. The medium to extended range looks below average right through the end of the month.
Another day of multiple showers and storms and another day not hitting a high of 70 degrees. Only made it to 68. Freaking amazing for this time of the year.
My opinion at this point is we have a lot of uncertainty still remaining and obviously all yall pros on here know that.
The above maps looks good but at this point im very skeptical. The PDO just hit a 170 year old record at -4 but what does that say about the pac? Will that go back up?
I think we have a lot of volatility on the board also and a lot of unknowns with the global climate and weather pattern.
I do agree that a more neutral ENSO is best for us and our general areas. Too much blocking is bad, and not enough blocking is bad and depending on thread the needle situations are always either great or heartbreaking. I have seen that the global temperature from last year to this year has cooled significantly in the big scheme of things. So that has to be a good sign right?
I'm definitely looking forward to this winter and seeing how it plays out. I know already the first of August has been an absolute treat. Haven't hit 80 yet at the house. I'm hoping we see a bit of an early start to Fall or at least an early cold blast.
The magic of cold air damming: Three days ago, Asheville's low temp was 71 degrees, which tied a record for the warmest low temp for 7/31. Yesterday, Asheville's high temp was 71 degrees, which set a new record for the coolest high temp for 8/2.