Yes that's why the mid range has been horrible. A lot of the models have done a 180 in the 7 to 10 day time frame from what they where showing some 2 day's ago.
The old 10-15 day EPS rolled into the new 7-12 day forecast from the EPS. Again and again we've seen this especially this season and yes I'll die on this hill. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
This is exactly what I've been talking about this week. We've seen this time and time again. And especially on the EURO We've seen even colder solutions in the mid range. Some people are gullible.
Possibly the northern mountains but at this time the cold front looks dry. Unless your into skiing then somewhere like Beech mountain. But at this time the models aren't showing any winter weather around New Years.
The way the models have been adjusting especially with this upcoming cold shot because of the building negative NAO there will be some wild swings especially in the mid range.
The pattern has been showing up being volatile especially this past week. Things have become more clear this weekend especially the recent runs of both the gfs and the EURO. We will agree to disagree. We don't see eye to eye on multiple things anyways.
Im giving you my opinion in the way the models have performed in the long range this season. Honestly we could look decent, torch, or in the freezer. We are just seeing a lot of volatility in the models.
Obviously not. We had a warm period before Thanksgiving. We thought we'd torch right through Thanksgiving but no we had a very cold end to November and a cold start to December. We've been well below average for the better part of 3 weeks. So yes we've seen this several times across the board where yes the operational models and the ensembles have performed very poorly in the middle and long range multiple times this season.