Met1985

Temperature has just dropped off the cliff. Down to 22 degrees already.

Yeah 18z looked good again for us. The adjustments are not done though but hopefully we see more continuity.

Yeah the GFS was showing the moisture from this morning coming in for a few days but was playing catchup as well. The Euro didn't have it until yesterdays 12z run. The euro has been too dry as well. But the euro at least at the H5 pattern basically nailed this cold front from 10 days out except the surface temps surprise surprise we about 20 to 30 degrees TOO WARM. honestly I only look at the gfs at short range anymore but all models have been struggling.

Oh yeah the Euro nailed the H5 pattern but has been way off on temperatures and moisture. The gfs is handling short range better in my opinion. The GFS did a much better job at the rainfall this week and still underestimated rainfall totals in most of WNC. The temperatures have been atrocious at lead time and I mean some 20 to 30 degrees bad but it's H5 pattern has been stellar so go figure. I like the look for mid week but as most know im an optimist and this looks like the best chance for snow since November really. As you noted. Honestly I don't even look at the gfs anymore for mid to longe range leads.

Yes sir Larry.

Most in the western part of NC got a lot of rainfall from Friday to Saturday. Anywhere from 2 to 6 inches. A lot of highway flooding and basements flooded. But Eastern NC got nothing.

I definitely get that for sure but the Euro really missed today's snow here until the last minute. We will see.

Nice! I've noticed these broke containment across the mountains. I mean that may happen Thursday depending on things. Hopefully we get blasted.

Heavy snow and blowing currently. We've been waiting for this fellas.

Eh I've got to give a huge amount of credit to the gfs in the short range at least. Euro wasn't even showing today until it's last run yesterday.

Yeah snowing nicely here. Big flakes, very windy and very cold with windchills in the teens.

For yall yes because it's a south/north flow.

For yall to really score the low really needs to dig and a negative tilt happen the sooner the better. I'm just afraid that a NW flow even heavy moisture laden will be difficult for the foothills. I mean something is better than nothing.

The gfs scored this. A nice prelude to Thursday.

Yeah and it it's credit it showed this mornings snow way before the Euro.

Windy hear with light snow. Current temp is 29 degrees.

Yall need all the luck yall can get. Nothing really screams potential on yalls side of the mountains because of downsloping.

Hope it works out for you.

I'm bumping this because the Euro did pretty damn well with the H5 look at this range. Yes I was told the surface was barely cool but this is really a good indicator from the Euro at nearly 10 days out and beyond. Surface was too warm at this range but that's been the problem for a lot of the season with these cold fronts. Now starting today we are well below normal and possibly looking at multiple snow threats. Some people talk shit and some people know their shit...

Wow! That is freaking some rainfall for 24 to 36 hours.

I've got us covered bro.

Our climo is so different especially around 3k feet and up it's crazy.

Total accumulation from now to next Monday. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

A big hit for the south central mountains next weekend. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

With the setup next weekend that would be a synoptic storm with the possibility of flow snow on the backside.