wolfie09

25° and freezing rain Imby

It's also a razor thin band

Rgem pretty much the same, 3k came in slightly north with the main band..Still keeps the bulk just to the south..

Thanks BGM..Was just gonna post that..Sharp cutoff right over this area..Granted it's in the long range..

From one run to the next lol

Kept it simple lol But it's open.. https://www.americanwx.com/bb/topic/56568-upstateeastern-new-york-jan-9-11-lake-effect-snow-event/?tab=comments#comment-6269211

I will continue to be reserved until I'm measuring lol The NWS has busted several times over the years with these big events east of Ontario.. Could wind up just to the south, either way good luck to all..

Discuss ..LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM SUNDAY TO 1 AM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...For the Lake Effect Snow Warning, heavy lake effect snow expected. Total snow accumulations of around 2 feet in the most persistent lake snows. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph will produce blowing and drifting snow. For the Winter Weather Advisory, mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches and ice accumulations of around one tenth of an inch. * WHERE...Oswego and Lewis counties. Heaviest lake effect snow will focus across northern Oswego and far southwest Lewis counties. * WHEN...For the Lake Effect Snow Warning, from 7 PM Sunday to 1 AM EST Tuesday. For the Winter Weather Advisory, from 6 AM to 7 PM EST Sunday. * IMPACTS...Travel will be very difficult with deep snow cover on roads and very poor visibility later Sunday night through Monday evening. Mixed precipitation may result in very slippery roads Sunday.

Mostly a Carbon copy of the rgem for Oswego county..It did come slightly south with max amounts..3k? Absolutely hates me lol 12k looked the best it has so far fwiw..

First of many..They have low end at 17" lol Clearly hugging the rgem..

GFS has something for Saturday as well but more marginal then the euro... Either way pops raised to 50%..

That has nothing to do with it TBH...It just keeps the band farther south.. Look at 18z Monday on the rgem vs Hrrr..

The euro trying to get something going one week from today..

Central square reported 9" but that's"public"..Spotter reported 7" 4 mile north.. If you want to see the difference a short distance can make, look at tuggies neck of the woods lol Co-op reported 5" and storm spotter nearly a foot..(1M north)..

Through the day tomorrow, before lake effect..

We could see some ice/sleet tomorrow morning..

Totals for kbuf.. Looks like pulaski COOP doesn't like to report anymore lol https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=PNS&issuedby=BUF Kbgm https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=PNS&issuedby=BGM

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I think they fell just below zero but not enough to make it a -1 lol

Is that today's high? If so that looks off as even KSyr was 15° around 11am..

Well ARW doesn't really pound me lol But I'm not paying attention to many models but 1.. Time to live or die by the rgem lol

That's kind of hard to do considering carol is south of lowville..

Once the rgem locks in , it's like a pitbull, it never lets go lol..Six straight runs crushing northern Oswego.. 3k is a little south of the rgem but someone is going to get hit good either way..

Mexico reported 4.7" on 0.12" liquid, so close to 40/1..