wolfie09

Little over an inch here as well, still sitting at 29°..

Wet bulbed down to 29° with a "steady" snow.. Some decent rates starting to come onshore.. Flakes are pretty big right now..

Some flakes starting to fly, 31°..

Multiple waves.. Some mixing involved..Not that it matters at this juncture lol

I did manage 38° today after this mornings light snowfall, now back down to freezing, so we should be good once it starts to precipitate..

Buffalo and Binghamton for this evening/tomorrow morning..

Lower forecast confidence for the closure of the weekend and the first part of the new work week as the system from the weekend departs interior Canada and heads into its maritimes placing a stalled frontal boundary somewhere across the region. A new surface low will ride northward along the boundary reaching the area sometime between Sunday night and Monday morning. Model discrepancies with this system include the location of the stalled boundary and the timing of arrival of the new low. The location of the stalled front plays a major dilemma with regards to precipitation type. If the front stalls over the region, like the GFS and Canadian suggest, the scenario for mostly rain Sunday night through Monday with a switch over to snow late Monday night will be favored. Additionally, more moisture will be available with this system, which will make for QPF amounts to range from a half inch to and inch. If this scenario becomes valid, flooding will definitely become of concern. Whereas the outlier with this case, the ECMWF has the boundary stalling further south of the region, filtering in the cold air in faster and supports an all snow scenario.

From 60s(maybe 70°? somewhere) to lower 30s and wet snow 24 hours later, if that's not spring idk what is lol

Or the rarest of them all For late season not early lol

Let's bump that just a little north lol

My morning inch is already poof lol Doesn't take much this time of year..

GFS says winter is far from over lol

Trying to thread the needle as usual..

Transfer scenario on the Canadian..

Through Tuesday morning, which includes tonight.. Fwiw

GFS is trying lol

Could be a sneaky decent event tonight.. Obviously the models are not in agreement wrt precipitation amounts.. Forecast soundings display a saturated isothermal layer that extends several thousand feet through the dendritic growth zone by this evening, which will help boost snow-to- liquid ratios above 15:1 due to larger flake sizes.

Nice"surprise" inch this morning, still coming down pretty good with awesome dendrites..It should be winding down soon..

Few decent ones for Monday..

We have something to watch.. From this point, forecast confidence lowers for Sunday night through Monday night. This is because the cold front trailing this system will stall out somewhere near our region, with another wave of low pressure forecast to track along the front. There is poor model agreement where the front will be, with either rain or snow possible from this system. There also will be more moisture with this second wave with QPF in the half inch to inch ballpark. If this falls as rain, then potential flooding would be the main impact from this system. However, if the front stalls to the south this could support accumulating snows across the area.

Well it all comes down to timing, as usual lol Euro is quicker with the frontal passage..

Euro misses us with just to the south Monday, I think it's along the front.. This is the same day the GFS had temps near 70, yesterday lol

Snow forecast starting this afternoon..

Steady snow here, 26°.. It seems like guidance missed this..

Big fatties here, of the wet variety..Car topper, nice lol