wolfie09

Euro coming in weaker and east..

Let's keep the north trend going lol

Thanks @LakeEffectKing All future storm talk..

GEFS Mean snowfall Not sure why I use COD anymore lol These maps are a lot better..

Members

Ukie pretty similar to 0z, just a little stronger..

Canadian trend

Wednesday event has been edging north on some guidance, probably wouldn't add up to much either way.. Granted it's the icon and Canadian but North is the name of the game lol

GFS trend

What a dynamic storm, I'd sign up for it although we deal with a good amount of liquid lol

Poor Matt, can never catch a break

Obviously this is before the GFS 6z.. On Friday morning there will be a few separate pieces spread out over portions of the conus that will come together to make for a potentially potent weekend storm system. A potent upper level trough and low over the southwestern US and Southern Rockies tracking mostly due east, a potent trough over the southern Canadian Prairies tracking southeast, and a weak disturbance over the Gulf of Mexico with high moisture content. As the two troughs track toward the Tennessee Valley from Friday morning through Saturday morning, an area of low pressure will form over the lower Mississippi Valley ahead of the southern trough on Friday evening, picking up the moisture from the GOMEX disturbance. With the amplitude of the southern trough the area of low pressure will track north-northeast along the western side of the Appalachians. As the two troughs phase over the Tennessee Valley, the area of low pressure will begin to rapidly strengthen over the Ohio Valley and WNY, potentially bombing out. Rapid deepening seems especially possible between the Tennessee Valley and the St. Lawrence Valley, where some guidance is suggesting pressure drops of ~30 mb in 18 hours. Currently, guidance is tracking this system northeast over a few different areas, the GFS is directly over WNY, the Euro over CNY, and the Canadian over ENY. Track of the storm will be key in the potential for rain vs. snow, and how windy it may get for Western and North Central NY. For now going with a slightly more east solution, resulting in a bit of a quicker change over from rain to snow, with likely POPs from late Friday evening through Saturday morning. There are a lot of parts to this storm scenario, and any changes in location or timing for the different parts mentioned above will have the potential to cause significant changes to the forecast.

I figured this was coming lol

Feels pretty good out, dropped 16° the past 2 hours, wind is solid but not crazy.. On the wintry side maybe a T-1" lol

Front must of went through with winds veering from S/SW to W. .Wind starting to pick up a little as well...

I've lost my sizzle sizzle here, still 63° but dropped 9° in short order...

Just hit 70° here, time to start up the grill

Ukmet at the end of its run.. Canadian farther west...

Nearing 62° here, forecast high is 63°, it looks like we will blow past that..