wolfie09

Yup lol Thanks Matt I knew it didn't make sense..

Still seems to keep the heaviest off to the south and east, granted some of that is most likely sleet..

Ukie keeps the primary stronger compared to previous runs..

You have to go around 25 miles inland from Ontario to hit 1000'ASL..

It really amazes me the amount of elevation so close to the lake shore lol

https://www.weather.gov/mqt/seasonsnowfallmaps

Down to 29° with steady snow, starting to coat up the deck lol

This is a fast moving system with the primary low transferring to a secondary or coastal low. This may reduce the time for snow accumulation across western NY. There is also the potential for mixed precipitation across the Southern Tier. Snowfall totals are currently leaning towards the Advisory range with 4-8 inches in 24 hours across western NY Thursday evening to Friday evening. A trace to a tenth of an inch of ice accumulation is also possible across the Southern Tier Friday. Higher snowfall are possible across the North Country especially on the Tug Hill where greater than 9 inches in 24 hours is possible. Snow will linger southeast of the Lakes Friday night and may pick up another 1-2 inches Friday night. A Winter Storm Watch has been issued for Jefferson, Lewis and Oswego late Thursday evening with the higher totals on the Tug Hill and Lewis county.

Fv3

3k bumps north as well..

.WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 7 inches or more in 12 hours possible. * WHERE...Northern Oneida, Onondaga, Madison, Southern Oneida, Cortland, Chenango, Otsego and Delaware counties. * WHEN...From late Thursday evening through Friday evening. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute Friday.

Watches issued but not the entire CWA, yet.. ..WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 9 inches or more possible. * WHERE...The Eastern Lake Ontario Region. Greatest snow accumulations possible on the Tug Hill Plateau. * WHEN...From Thursday evening through Friday evening. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the Friday morning and evening commute.

Keweenaw Snow Report and U.P. Weather 2021-2022 Snowfall - 245" season to date

Euro

Rgem back to a quicker transfer..

Rain ending here, picked up 0.69" of rain during the day..

Cold is locked in at the surface, comes down to those pesky ULLs lol Fv3 is a good bit warmer at the surface but still well below freezing..

Not impossible..Climo argues against all snow with this track..Now granted the system is pretty weak and strong HP to the NE + developing coastal, maybe we luck out for once lol

3k..

Could be some solid LES to kick off march behind the front.. Obviously Location tbd lol

Solid probs overall..

The Matt effect in full effect lol