wolfie09

Looks good

Ukmet is north

NWS has you covered.. There is a potential for flooding on Tuesday and Wednesday. This is due to high flows from recent rainfall, warm temperatures and associated run-off from melting snow, and a system which is expected to bring between a half inch and three quarters of an inch of rain on Tuesday.

850mb and 925mb right over us..

For the kutchie fanatics..

I'm all in on the later transfer lol Solid run..

Wait till the NAM/Rgem get into range lol

Icon won't let the northern solution go lol

Kick 12z off with the LR NAM

Well this what the NWS is talking about..I'm surprised warm air doesn't make it farther north TbH, might have something to do with the transfer off the coast..

Thursday night into Friday, a southern stream system will become a bit better organized with the sfc low tracking northeast across Kentucky and Tennessee. Meanwhile...a secondary coastal low will begin to form off the Carolinas which over time becomes the main sfc low that steams up the coast during the day Friday. Thermal profiles suggest that this will primarily be an all snow event. Some guidance does show warm layer between H925-H85 getting precariously close to the NY/PA boarder on Friday. Could see wintry mix if enough warm air sneaks in aloft. This far out seems too low a potential to include in the grids, so kept only snow for ptype. As alluded to previously, some concern in the track of the H85 low which isn`t ideal as it tracks across western NY while stronger warm air advection is more to the east closer to the developing coastal low. Combination of these two factors may lead to multiple periods of light precipitation with little snow accumulation or even a lull in steadier precipitation. No change to the thinking that we`ll see some accumulating snow, but the negatives mentioned may prohibit this from being a bigger snow event. Stay tuned.

Mix line creeping up on the GFS lol Otherwise a solid run..

Euro

Ukmet and GGEM farther south compared to the GFS..

GFS looks a little north so far..

Kind of a weird track with that due N jump lol I'd obviously take it though..

Thanks @sferic New thread for the end of the week system..

Dry look though..

You can see it somewhat on the Canadian