wolfie09

Intense but quick, obviously lol Still getting heavy snow and some decent winds..It looks like a little more to go behind the main band...

Yeah that's what I was thinking lol Even though they did put them out to our W/SW...

Yeah buffalo has nothing for east of Ontario lol Just starting here..

Should be here soon, starting to see a few flurries, don't blink lol

Inching closer..

That's all COD provides..Not sure of any other free sites with GEFS snowfall..

Colder air settles into the area for a couple days until the next system with decent timing unison in model guidance approaches for Thursday night and Friday. The ECMWF is notably warmer than other global model solutions, and it is really the only solution that brings up enough warm air to have a changeover to rain, however it`s rarely a good idea to fully discount the ECMWF in the extended. Thus, while the forecast favors colder solutions for the moment, the numbers were tempered a bit to account for the warmer ECMWF.

Expect a burst of lake enhanced snow with the clipper cold front early to mid morning. A band of heavy lake effect snow will then develop by late morning across the Tug Hill Plateau. This band of snow will drift slowly south across the Tug from late morning through mid afternoon, becoming quite heavy with 2-3"/hr snow fall rates likely. Late this afternoon the band will move south across Oswego County and weaken as boundary layer flow veers more northwesterly. Total accumulations will likely reach 8-12" across the Tug Hill Plateau, with 3-6" for some of the surrounding lower elevations. Some lake effect snow will persist tonight southeast of Lake Ontario, but in a weaker state as inversion heights fall and moisture decreases. Expect 2-3" across portions of Wayne and northern Cayuga counties, and 1-2 inches near the lakeshore in Monroe County. What remains of the lake effect will drift back over the lake and end by Sunday morning.

Euro still with the farther north primary.. Solid front end thump though..

Ukie, not yet fully into range..

Looks like a solid duration event on the Canadian, precipitation moves in at hR 150 and still getting a little wrap around/enhancement 24 hours later+ a little LES to follow.. Unfortunately missing some frames at the moment lol

Surprised? Lol

Icon West this run for next week..

Meso- models pretty meh lol At least outside the tug..

An area of low pressure tracking northeast along the central Appalachians to the New England coast will begin to increase the chance for snow late Thursday into Friday. There is still plenty of model disagreement for this system. Most of the model guidance is leaning toward a more easterly track with the storm, resulting in at least a modest snowfall. Other guidance is farther west with the storm, resulting in warmer temperatures and more in the form of rain to at least to start before changing to snow.

Snowing pretty good out right now, light winds and large flakes, my favorite lol

Definitely several messy GEFS members..

Yes please lol But a fine line we walk .

GFS did hold on to the primary longer like the euro..

New map, just for the clipper/LES..

First map.. Not sure why they started it at 7 am this morning lol

Rgem and Hrrr spread the wealth with the next clipper.. Obviously not exact lol

Still solid..