wolfie09

We are up to 41° here with mostly cloudy skies...

Nearest station (SSE lacona) picked up a little over 4" yesterday morning..Of course Pulaski COOP nowhere to be found lol

Going to be a soaker..

For us in Oswego county that includes the clipper which has better potential here than this upcoming system lol

I actually don't think it is Tim.. Here is the snow map at hour 37 and change over is hour 38 verbatim..

Precipitation will change over from NW-SE Thursday night, following the progression of the front. Forecast soundings continue to suggest there will be a narrow band of sleet/freezing rain before it changes over to all snow. This is due to a shallow layer of colder (below freezing) air which will undercut warm air aloft. Expect any ice accumulation to be mainly on tree branches and elevated surfaces, with steady rain likely to run-off even if surface temperatures drop just below freezing. Most areas should only see light snow accumulations of an inch or two before snow tapers off Friday afternoon. The exception is near Niagara county and the North Country where several inches is possible depending on the timing of the changeover. There will be a sharp gradient with more significant snow accumulations possible just to the north of the forecast area. Winter Weather advisories may be needed for the freezing rain and possibly the snow.

Flood watches issued this morning.. FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING... * WHAT...Flooding caused by rain and snowmelt continues to be possible. * WHERE...Portions of central and western New York, including the following counties, in central New York, Jefferson, Lewis, Northern Cayuga and Oswego. In western New York, Ontario and Wayne. * WHEN...From Thursday morning through Friday evening. * IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - Warm weather through Thursday will result in significant melting of the extensive snow pack over the region. A storm system will generate between an inch and two inches of rain over north-central New York, most of which will come from midday Thursday into Thursday evening. The combination of the significant rainfall and extensive snow melt may cause flooding along creeks and rivers. - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

Not going with much freezing rain at the moment..

Fwiw

I guess it's something lol Slight improvement, little more backside precipitation..

Great looking clipper Winter blows lol

We'll see if it continues..

Buffalo has a shot but we toast lol

A little bit closer for you guys..

Get the boats ready..

Don't worry by the time it gets measured tomorrow morning we will"officially" have another T in the books lol

Clearly we can't trust COD lol Granted it's kutchie..

I-81 north closed due to a tractor trailer accident, near Adams..

Snow starting to slow down now, picked up 3.2", most of that in the last 40 minutes..

Flood watch issued for WNY.. FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING... * WHAT...Flooding caused by rain and snowmelt is possible. * WHERE...A portion of western New York, including the following counties, Allegany, Cattaraugus, Chautauqua, Genesee, Livingston, Monroe, Niagara, Northern Erie, Orleans, Southern Erie and Wyoming. * WHEN...From Wednesday evening through Friday evening. * IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. The greatest threat for flooding will be in ice jam prone areas, such as the Buffalo area creeks and near Sunset Bay on Cattaraugus creek. Creeks and streams may rise out of their banks. Flooding may occur in poor drainage and urban areas. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - Significant warming ahead of a slow warming cold front will result in a major melt down of a large portion of the extensive snow pack over the region. While this warming will begin on Wednesday, melt water is not forecast to reach the tributaries until Wednesday evening. A storm system will then track out of the Ohio valley late Wednesday night and Thursday...reaching our forecast area Thursday evening. This system is forecast to generate a half to one and a half inches of rain over western New York...most of which will come from midday Thursday into Thursday evening. The combination of the significant rainfall and extensive snow melt will result in at LEAST major rises on area tributaries. - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

13° with heavy snow here, shouldn't last that long, maybe a couple quick inches..The year of the transition band continues lol

Farther east track means more precip aka rain..

18 euro.. Only has Kuchera method..

Both TT and COD give 6z/18z freebies, it just takes longer to come out lol TT for example only goes out to HR 72 and in 24 hour increments..COD takes longer but gives Euro kutchie and 6 hr increments up to hr 90.. Actually I don't think it shows Euro 10-1. Lol