wolfie09

Yup lol And we may be the last to change over..

Thursday night-friday night..

Wednesday night-Thursday night..

Yeah but that was the same situation as Flores was in...Not seeing eye to eye with management..Why Flores didn't get along with management is kind of an unknown.. Chargers coach Marty Schottenheimer was firedMonday night in a shocking move by team president Dean Spanos, whocited a "dysfunctional situation" between the coach and generalmanager A.J. Smith.

That's the NAM silly lol And 18z at that..Get some zzzs haha..

Well the dolphins thing is strange lol A young coach takes a "rebuilding" team to 10 and 9 wins in back to back seasons but yet gets fired lol Many"experts" were shocked.. Rumor had it that Flores butted heads with ownership and management, so I wonder if that had something to do with it.. Obviously just speculation.. Hard to know what is fact or fiction..

NEW YORK -- Brian Flores has sued the NFL and three teams -- the Dolphins, the Broncos and the Giants -- alleging discrimination regarding his interview processes with Denver and New York and his firing last month by Miami. The 58-page lawsuit was filed in Manhattan federal court Tuesday and seeks class-action status. In it, Flores claims Dolphins owner Stephen Ross attempted to incentivize him to "tank" or purposely lose games shortly after he was hired in 2019, with Ross allegedly offering Flores $100,000 for every game the team lost that season. Flores says that as the team won games late in the season, Dolphins general manager Chris Grier told him Ross was "mad" that Flores' on-field success was "compromising [the team's] draft position." https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/33194862/brian-flores-sues-nfl-others-former-miami-dolphins-coach-alleges-racism-hiring-practices

Lol

GFS is basically a northern stream/LES type pattern, at least at 12z..My kind of pattern lol Granted it will be different in 6hours.. I'm just asking for 1 long duration event before the season comes to an end lol

Low end and high end..

Kind of fools gold lol Not much difference between the 8"-12" and 12"-18".. For the most part they are going high end for the 8"-12" and low end for the 12"-18"..

South-Central Great Plains through to the Northeast... ...Several rounds of winter weather lasting through Thursday for portions of the central U.S. before shifting to the interior Northeast... Days 1-3... Tuesday night into Wednesday morning is expected to mark the onset of what will likely become a prolonged, multi-round and multi-precipitation type winter weather event impacting a large portion of the central to northeastern U.S. into Friday. Deepening moisture (precipitable water anomalies of +1 to +3 sigma near and south of the front) supplied by low-to-mid level southerly flow from the Gulf of Mexico into the central U.S. is expected to support precipitation developing north of a strong cold front as it drops southeastward through the central Plains, mid-Mississippi Valley, and south of the western Great Lakes Wednesday morning. Favorable upper jet forcing overlapping mid-level frontogenesis is expected to support an expanding area of wintry precipitation from Kansas and Oklahoma to Lower Michigan Day 2. Precipitation will continue to develop and propagate northeastward in tandem with an increasing jet (~150kts) into the Corn Belt as another area of organized precipitation develops back to the southwest. As the upper trough in the Southwest moves into the southern Plains, right-entrance region upper jet forcing along with the strong low-to-mid level frontogenesis will support an area of moderate to heavy snow developing over eastern Oklahoma and Kansas Wednesday evening before shifting northeast through the mid-Mississippi Valley and into the southern Great Lakes region overnight. On Thursday, strong divergence along the right-entrance region of a powerful upper jet (~170kts centered over the northern Great Lakes), will continue to combine with low-to-mid level frontogenesis to support moderate to heavy snow continuing northeast through the eastern Great Lakes into the Upstate New York and northern New England. WPC probabilities indicate that total snows of at least 4 inches are likely to extend from Kansas and portions of Oklahoma all the way to northern Ohio and southern Michigan. Within this area, locally heavier totals reaching a foot or more are most likely from central Illinois through northern Indiana into Lower Michigan. By early Friday, snowfall amounts of 8 inches or more are likely from western New York to the Adirondacks and along the northern New England border. Heavier totals of up to a foot or more are most likely across western New New York and the Adirondacks. South of the heavier snow, a wintry mix, including freezing rain, will likely impact areas from North Texas into the Ohio Valley Wednesday into early Thursday, extending farther northeast through the central Appalachians into the Northeast. Significant ice accumulations are likely, with amounts of a 0.25 inch or more possible, especially across portions of eastern Oklahoma, northern Arkansas, southern Missouri/Illinois and northeastward along and north of the main stem of the Ohio River. There, WPC probabilities of at least 0.25 inch ice are in the moderate (40-70%) category.

The morning maps look pretty solid imo .

Even with the warmer solution, Ggem is a little better for kbuf CWA at 10-1(compared to the GFS).. Quite a bit more moisture..

You can only change your name once..Click top right and go to Account, Account settings and change display name..

Rgem has has issues several times this year with the mix line..Track wise not much different than the NAM.. Could be issues with the ULLs..

Winter Storm Watch remains in effect for all of western and north central New York Wednesday night through the first half of Friday. Some trends of note showing up in latest guidance, but not enough to alter the going watch attm as there could be at least 9" in 24 hours. Overall the large scale pattern and expectations remain the same. Sfc low crossing northern Quebec late tonight will push a cold front slowly into western NY Wednesday night. This will provide the track for multiple waves aloft to lift across the lower Great Lakes and Northeast in deep southwest flow aloft. First stronger wave arrives later Wednesday night with some potential for wintry mix into Southern Tier. As boundary continues to slide eastward across rest of forecast area, next stronger wave then lifts northeast along it for Thursday night. Main change in the guidance right now is that second wave and associated sfc-H85 low track more south and southeast compared to previous runs especially in the GFS and ECMWF runs, but in reality this is not that different from what some models were showing a couple days ago. As mentioned yesterday, stronger shortwave that will spin up the main low-level wave later Thursday is still digging south along west coast today and will not be fully onshore over southwest CONUS until Wed, so as we are seeing now, there most likely will continue to be shifts in the track of the system impacting the zone of heaviest snow and where any mix occurs. One item to emphasize with this upcoming event is it will be longer duration, spread over 24-36 hours. At this point, rates even during the heaviest snow, likely only top out 0.5-1.0 inch per hour. Given the lack of very strong lift and forcing throughout, not expecting the type of snowfall rates we experienced with the last widespread synoptic event mid January. The period of heaviest snow looks to occur Thursday afternoon into Thursday evening, setting up the Thursday evening commute to see the greatest widespread impact from the event. Do watch that morning commute on Thursday as well though as even though snow amounts by daybreak Thursday will only be a few inches at most, the SLRs of that snow will be wetter (<10:1) so the impact could be higher. Given the overall southern trend shown, not going to mention much in way of wintry mix other than what could occur over Southern Tier briefly on Wednesday night. Majority of widespread snow diminishes early on Friday though some light to moderate lake effect may linger into the afternoon. If the farther south trend holds, then the widespread snow and/or lake effect snow could diminish as early as early Friday morning. Forecast will lean on continuity though and keep lower end likely pops even over western NY through daybreak Friday

Rgem a little colder especially N/W..

That black dot looks east of her .She sits at 1305'ASL, elevation goes up east of her..

Maybe he/she is in western Lowville? Snowfall goes up quite quick in that area..

Yeah that's weird because they usually go by those numbers, same for the "winter season summaries"..Hmmm lol