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wolfie09

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Everything posted by wolfie09

  1. I can either take a boat ride or car ride and see me a footer Sunday lol Obviously if either of the rgem or 3k verified..
  2. Tea kettle type band over mid lake will head toward eastern shore late Sunday afternoon into Sunday evening. The ultimate landing spot for this band on eastern shore of Lake Ontario will be highly dictated by weak wind field/mesoscale processes that are hard to determine yet. But, if that band comes onshore, potential is there for several inches of fluffy snow due to strong low-level convergence helped out by overall weak convergence as the clipper moves through and also a favorable profile with lake EQLs up to 8kft and good portion of the lake convective layer in the DGZ. SLRs could only be increased due to the light winds. Using output from the Canadian-regional and NAM increased snow amounts toward Jefferson and Oswego county border, but didn`t extend this too far inland with the light winds. Some hint that passage of trough could shove this band back more over southeast shore of Lake Ontario late Sunday night or it may just dissolve as winds become variable and eventually push it back across the open waters of the lake into Monday morning. Meantime, off Lake Erie with sw flow, temps plenty cold enough at top of inversion and still enough open water, there could be a few snow showers impacting Buffalo Metro at times Sun night into Monday morning, though nothing really shows near as much as the activity east of Lake Ontario. Away from the lake effect Sun and Sun night it will be not as cold with highs on Sun in the 20s and lows in the single digits Sun night.
  3. Now that's what you call a light wind lol Be lucky to make it to pulaski 5 miles inland..
  4. I don't think it's much downsloping, low level winds are N/NW not NE..I think it's more we just miss the heaviest off to the south with the"main" wave..
  5. Lol..I also give you hidden likes on your YT videos, watched the one with you and your pup taking a stroll in nature, yesterday..Good stuff..
  6. I feel like the ukie has been to far SE with every event this year lol
  7. GEFS are pretty ugly for the most part.. FWIW Some decent hits in there..
  8. NWS updating the lake effect archives.. I forgot about this event, we jackpotted once, yay lol We didn't have much more to cheer about this month lol
  9. I was born not far from Frankfort in Mainz Germany lol
  10. Giants trying to steal all the bills lol He could also get promoted by buffalo.. NFL Rumors: Ken Dorsey Eyed by Giants, Bills for OC Job After Brian Daboll's Move
  11. Giants expected to hire Bills OC Brian daboll to be next head coach..
  12. GFS for Wed night.. Snow-mix and back to snow.. Tightrope for sure lol But it's 100+ hours out..
  13. As it stands right now it looks like the potential for a light-moderate event on Sunday/Sunday night..
  14. Little change as it still looks like we will see a brief reprieve from the cold during this period. Tuesday expect somewhat mild conditions (30s to low 40s) but mainly dry weather. Although, we might see a few snow showers with the warm front tied to the low approaching James Bay. Tuesday evening, its cold front will then approach the Lower Lakes with increasing chances of rain and/or snow showers. After that, there remains a lot of uncertainty where the cold front will hang up and then direct several waves across the eastern Great Lakes. Have leaned on a model blend with p-type as a mix of rain and snow as of right now from Wednesday through Thursday night. A lot will ride on where the 850 hPa thermal gradient sets up and then the track of the sfc lows. Stay tuned! Friday it appears that we will again turn colder as an Arctic air mass filters in for the start of the weekend.
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