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Gravity Wave

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Everything posted by Gravity Wave

  1. NAM was right on the money with the slightly lower temps for today.
  2. The heat might be making me go insane but it actually felt marginally better outside this morning. NAM says the relief will start coming in around 10:00 PM tonight.
  3. Is it just me or has Tropical Tidbits become a lot slower with releasing the model panels? I don't really care now but it could be very annoying in the winter.
  4. CMC and NAM indicating that the heat on Thursday will be somewhat muted compared to tomorrow (upper 80s-lower 90s rather than mid-upper 90s), whereas the GFS is still on full blast (shocking).
  5. Seriously considering staying at work until 8 the next few nights so i can get a car home instead of waiting for the subway on a 200 degree platform.
  6. The CFS Weeklies are suggesting that the AN temps and high dews will fade after September 10th, and the long range GFS agrees.
  7. The event that got me into weather! We had 70 mph sustained winds in Allentown that took down half the trees in the park next to my house, and our front door blew open despite the fact that it faces north rather than west. I'll never forget how pitch black it was at 1:00 in the afternoon.
  8. Models are trending towards cutting off the heat wave early, looks like the 90s will be confined to Mon-Wed.
  9. The CFS torches us the first week of September but then really backs down, average to very slightly above average for the rest of the month.
  10. I would kill to have more summers like that one. Absolutely beautiful for all of June and July. August was back to normal but it was my all-time favorite summer. Also had an EF2 touch down about 20 miles from me that summer, which qualifies as interesting in Pennsylvania.
  11. And then October was an epic torch. My first month in the city.
  12. I was born in 92 and can't remember a single "fall-like" September. More like a lot of drier Junes.
  13. 12z NAM had a nasty looking squall line along with 3000 CAPE, -6 LI and 3-5(!!!) EHI from NNJ/the City up through the LHV tomorrow at 8:00.
  14. Where would you put a sensor in NYC that wouldn't be disproportionately affected by the heat from cars/grates/etc? The middle of the Brooklyn Bridge?
  15. The rainfall maps for this system are crazy. 8+ inches in one area, barely an inch a few miles to the south. This is central PA but it's the same thing in this area.
  16. Some parts of Schuylkill County have had over 15 inches of rain in the last 30 days. Another 3-5 inches for much of the area overnight and still pouring. Not good.
  17. While we're discussing UHI, can we talk about how garbage the GFS is at simulating it, especially during the day? It consistently overheats the big cities by 5-8 or even 10 degrees on warm days. Below is the 2:00 PM forecast from the 12z GFS: GFS forecast for NYC: 92. Actual: 86 GFS forecast for BOS: 95. Actual: 84 IIRC this was an issue during the winter as well, especially during those marginal March storms, although the bias was less pronounced compared to the summer.
  18. Growing up in Allentown my family would eat outside most non-rainy nights in the summer, unless there was a major heat wave, because the temps by 7:00 would usually be tolerable and the humidity wouldn't have climbed too much yet. There's zero chance we could do theoretically that in NYC with this ridiculous weather, and I don't think Allentown is much better now (except that it cools off more late night because of the smaller UHI and lack of warm water).
  19. I'd trade a MECS this winter for the tropic of cancer to move 1,000 miles south back to where it belongs for the rest of this infernal summer.
  20. Had about half an hour of heavy rain here, don't think there was much in the way of wind. Very impressive radar signature on that cell.
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