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Everything posted by Rtd208
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I honestly don't even know why you are worrying about it when gou declared winter over the other day anyway. We know nothing is going to change. Not worth getting upset over.
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I honestly don't even know why you are worrying about it when gou declared winter over the other day anyway. We know nothing is going to change. Not worth getting upset over.
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Looks windy. So windy it was blown away.
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Nice setup.
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2022-2023 OBS Thread
Rtd208 replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
....Northern Mid Atlantic... In the wake of an initial frontal wave migrating offshore, models indicate that boundary-layer warming and mixing with insolation along and east of the Allegheny Mountains, coupled with modest residual low-level moisture, may contribute to weak destabilization ahead of an occluding surface low migrating east-northeast of the lower Great Lakes. Beneath very cold mid-level air (including 500 mb temps at or below -30 C), it appears that the environment may become conducive to scattered low-topped thunderstorms capable of producing small hail/graupel. Some of this activity, mainly across parts of eastern Pennsylvania into New Jersey, may also aid the downward transfer of momentum associated with 40-50+ kt west-southwesterly flow in the 850-500 mb layer, contributing to a risk for damaging surface gusts during the mid to late afternoon hours. -
....Northern Mid Atlantic... In the wake of an initial frontal wave migrating offshore, models indicate that boundary-layer warming and mixing with insolation along and east of the Allegheny Mountains, coupled with modest residual low-level moisture, may contribute to weak destabilization ahead of an occluding surface low migrating east-northeast of the lower Great Lakes. Beneath very cold mid-level air (including 500 mb temps at or below -30 C), it appears that the environment may become conducive to scattered low-topped thunderstorms capable of producing small hail/graupel. Some of this activity, mainly across parts of eastern Pennsylvania into New Jersey, may also aid the downward transfer of momentum associated with 40-50+ kt west-southwesterly flow in the 850-500 mb layer, contributing to a risk for damaging surface gusts during the mid to late afternoon hours.
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Late February will be rocking. February Long range Discussion thread
Rtd208 replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
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The temp gradiant is going to be fun to watch to see where the dividing line sets up.
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One thing we have been great at this winter is failing. Depending on a backloaded winter or a SSWE to save us is always risky and usually doesn't work out. I think there could still be a rogue winter storm but other then that I agree with you.
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Late February will be rocking. February Long range Discussion thread
Rtd208 replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
For more cutters?? -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2022-2023 OBS Thread
Rtd208 replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
Rain/Sleet falling here. Temp 44 -
Rain/Sleet falling here. Temp 44
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Late February will be rocking. February Long range Discussion thread
Rtd208 replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
Steams for the Flemish Cap. -
When you realize winter is over and you start steaming for the Flemish Cap.
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Singing. Done.
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Late February will be rocking. February Long range Discussion thread
Rtd208 replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
Can we change the thread name to "Next Winter Will Be Rockin"? -
Late February will be rocking. February Long range Discussion thread
Rtd208 replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
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Late February will be rocking. February Long range Discussion thread
Rtd208 replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
Don't worry once we get to 8 days away we will be talking about the next 10 day threat and the one after that. Before you know it its April.