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Chicago WX

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  1. Chicago WX
    Eh, I think 1/31-2/1 is still in play. Still a signal on the ensembles that it could come north. Granted, op runs favor south, and that's the play at the moment, but I wouldn't completely dismiss the chance. Plus, it's kind of a date(s) when things happen...
  2. Chicago WX
    Hoosier's go-to model (6z run) is a slight tick away from congrats MSP and GRB.
  3. Chicago WX
    Smells like a I-88 to MSN special, or somewhere in that corridor. These always have a late north trend it seems.
  4. Chicago WX
    You can’t find the website? But of course, ratios are much lower now. Still, point stands…overnight snows were greater than 10:1.
  5. Chicago WX
    Looking at CoCoRaHS reports so far, the 10:1 or less crowd is taking a beating.
  6. Chicago WX
    2.4" with my 6:00 AM CoCoRaHS observation. Snowing nicely right now. Radar still looks good. Maybe a shot at 4", which would be quite a win for us.
  7. Chicago WX
    Bands doing work. 2.0" on the dot here so far. Pleasantly surprised.
  8. Chicago WX
    Very possible we get little to nothing while places just to put north and south have snow on the ground. GFS has led the way on that scenario, remarkably. HRRR onboard with that too. Think a final call of T-1” looks golden. And the weekend event looks to miss north. Good times!
  9. Chicago WX
    Rain? But, seems LAF is right on the line or close to it, on several models for a good hit. Hope it happens. And for our other Indiana people too.
  10. Chicago WX
    Looks like the 6z Euro bumped a little north. Been watching that STL to LAF to FWA area on the models. Think that corridor may be the jack zone.
  11. Chicago WX
    Saturday/Sunday event has the look of a north trender. LOT talking rain possibility for here. Regardless, should be some nice banding with this one. I-80 on north looks prime for a decent system. Probably need to fire up a thread soon.
  12. Chicago WX
    Models in pretty good agreement around here now. QPF range from 0.20-0.30". Looks like we'll be stuck in a subby zone between the northern fgen band and the system bands to the south/southeast. Lowering my call to 1-3", will go with 2.2" final to be exact. Only question is whether I'll have any snow left on the ground by the end of Wednesday, as it looks to torch in the afternoon.
  13. Chicago WX
    You would think the NAM would’ve started backing off, the closer we get. Instead, it’s doubling down. Just a junk model. Well, most of them are it seems…
  14. Chicago WX
    I’m thinking 2-4” in my hood. I know that’s wild and crazy thinking! But, I think the southeast 1/3 of LOT’s CWA warrants an advisory.
  15. Chicago WX
    Maybe they’ll just forecast white rain. No accumulations for anyone!
  16. Chicago WX
    0z RGEM with a tick west and north with the QPF shield.
  17. Chicago WX
    0z NAM bumping north. Warning snows to southern Cook over to Hoosier.
  18. Chicago WX
    Late Jan and early Feb are our time to shine, as always.
  19. Chicago WX
    Mid level low tracks would argue for a more expansive shield (higher QPF) on the northwest side, *IF* the GFS played out as the actual outcome. Dubious to that though. My first guess for MBY is 2-4”. Should increase fairly quickly just to the south/southeast.
  20. Chicago WX
    Figures, the 6z EPS losing the left leaners. No huge change overall, but maybe a slight tick to the east on the mean versus the 0z run. I guess I'm grasping at straws a bit, trying to turn what looks like a 1-3" event into 3-5" in my hood. Still, hoping we can get a good hit for the people in southern/central IL into Indiana and Ohio.
  21. Chicago WX
    Looking at the HRRR and RAP last night and this morning, was expecting a near shut out IMBY...but it's been snowing nicely for the past couple of hours. Nice flakes too. So a nice surprise, even if minor.
  22. Chicago WX
    24 hour QPF has improved as well, versus prior runs, particularly for places in southern/central IL and the southern "half-ish" of Indiana and then into Ohio.
  23. Chicago WX
    0z EPS still has some left leaners (deeper solutions) at 90 hours.
  24. Chicago WX
    Sure. I'm not calling for feet of snow obviously, but a decent event looks probable to me. The higher upside possibility is probably a longer shot...but again, it's Saturday. We've got plenty of time for this get better, or worse. I get it that some people are big dog hunters, but man I'd take any amount of snow at this point.
  25. Chicago WX
    Some of you give up too easy. Caveats aside, 18z NAM looks like it would go somewhat nuke at 84 and beyond. Regardless, think a decent event is still on the table for many. It’s still only Saturday…
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