Amped
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Everything posted by Amped
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New GFS para takes the low offshore from 1003mb to 976mb in 12hrs. That stretches plausibility a bit for east coast cyclogenesis.
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GFS lets the southern stream escape OTS but it's close to phasing something.
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Ugly wave 1 in the wrong hemisphere.
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Some guy in SE VA. They'll get 3-5" from their sneaky costal skimmer on 1/3 which will quickly sizzle away in the pack torch. Everyone else is SOL.
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Low Tracks over Hartford CT,, but west of the Hudson stays snow. Interesting storm. Almost looks like Dec 2001 further west. Edit: All of ME changes over to rain.
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Captured coastal setup on the GFS We get some decent snow but much better to our NE. Wilmington to Philly FTW
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Yeah I guess there is a chance at something day 8-9. Going to need it to happen a lot further west if it's going to track up the coast though.
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Latest Euro looks kind of ugly. PNA is just not cooperating in the 7-10 day timeframe. GFS shows an ugly PNA through day 14 also. I was hoping it would improve by now, but looks like we'll waste the first part of the block.
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The updated NWS radar is terrible
Amped replied to Heisy's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
https://www.marylandwx.com/radar-data/ This site always had the MD DC VA area covered pretty well. Just gotta copy it for every other major metro. -
Sheets of rain blowing around, but I was hoping for more wind.
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Euro has great blocking, but PNA is a disaster. Hopefully the look changes.
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The updated NWS radar is terrible
Amped replied to Heisy's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Loads slower than wundermap 15 years ago. I can't tell if tell if I'm looking at base or a composite. COD remade their old site without using flash pretty easily. That's what nws should have done. Add dual pole products and increase the resolution also. Most of all, make sure it loads fast. -
Snow to sleet for us. It does produce a continuous swath of snow from the CA mountains all the way to RI.. Really slow mover. Seems to be one of those Atlantic VS pacific -PNA VS -NAO SE ridge vs confluence trilogies. Many more bizarre runs to come I'm sure.
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CMC is probably the closest thing to March 1888 that I've ever seen on a model run. Feb 2010 did not have a 1042 high. Would be a raging blizzard for NYC and western CT.
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Ugly coastal flooding setup too.
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Odd looking December 1992 like system. it backs into the coast.
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Yeah I'm not seeing seeing a perfect pattern there. Troff in CA and ridge over TX gives little room for a low coming out of the gulf.
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Can we buy a 50/50 low?
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If DCA only undermeasured a major snowstorm by .4" it would be a lifelong dream come true for most mid atlantic folks.
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Anyone remember this event? 30-40 totals weren't as widespread, but it looks like rates were comparable over S VT and NW mass.
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Also was pretty slow moving. I do think there are comparable setups from 30+ years ago that didn't produce these kinds of totals. Warmer ocean temps could be assisting it.
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LES rates and probably ratios too.
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I pitty the fool who took the under in Binghamton.
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March 2001 Feb 2010 March 2017 March 93 April 97 Those probably included some upslope , but so does this.
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Sleeting again here
