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Amped

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Everything posted by Amped

  1. Amped
    CMC, GFS and UKMET definitely show less northern stream involvement compared to 12z. It's subtle but heights over the Great lakes are higher during the storm. A good reason to be cautiously optimistic.
  2. Amped
  3. Amped
    CMC actually has a good H5. Essentially looks very close to the blizzard of 83 in the eastern 3rd of the country at both H5 and the surface.
  4. Amped
    So much for no Gulf coast low
  5. Amped
    Yep I think the lack of a strong primary is also a factor on the runs showing a quick coastal transfer. I'd rather not rely on that though.
  6. Amped
    Icon shows the storm you'd expect given the H5 track.
  7. Amped
    No it was two days after. Close, it was a couple days after that event.
  8. Amped
    December 2013 we had a similar event. 4" in Frederick and rain in dc
  9. Amped
    Crazy coastal tuck on this run. 850mb winds go from south to north fast.
  10. Amped
    Let the run finish. More amped troff might offset the confluence later on.
  11. Amped
    Remember how bad forecast were in 2002. there was 4" on the ground with SN+ in state college by the time people saw this paper. Ended up with 8"
  12. Amped
    I95 jackpot depending on traffic
  13. Amped
    But it went knickerbocker on us this run
  14. Amped
    I am really not committed to any solution at this point. Models still suck 6 days out and this run was a pretty big change from the last few.
  15. Amped
    Lol Boston stays all snow because the low bombs 13 mb in 6 hrs and heads due east. Not happening
  16. Amped
    I like its solution better for that reason
  17. Amped
    Southern stream is weak. No low coming out of the gulf coast states.
  18. Amped
    12" of snow in 6hr bullseye from HGR to BGM. Actually weakens a bit to 10" in 6hrs over New England.
  19. Amped
    I 81 gets rocked
  20. Amped
    There a 3 small disturbances merging here. Models have been pretty consistent with the northern and southern ones. However they've been all over the place with the middle disturbance. Luckily it was never going to be a huge event.
  21. Amped
    Missing out on that 2.7" jackpot over Richmond. We'll never catch up now
  22. Amped
    R/S line is rapidly collapsing SE through RI on the last few frames.
  23. Amped
    If east hartford county gets a lot more than west Hartford county, it's a big win for 3km models. HRRR 3k NAM and HRDPS had a big gradient across the county.
  24. Amped
    NYC get snow a little snowstorm on 2/15-2/16 and a huge one on 2/25-2/26 in 2010. I was mentioning the little storm on 2/15 cause it was a 500mb bowling ball that tracked right over us. It would have been another double digit dump if there was any sort of excuse for a high over New England
  25. Amped
    Yes we just got a few flurries and a dryslot. I think the NYC area and NE did quite a bit better. http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/NARR/2010/us0215.php
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