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Amped

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Everything posted by Amped

  1. Don't worry we'll get a pattern change early February. I say that the first day of winter every year.
  2. 18Z GFS has silly looking 985MB low over Buffalo day 4. Gives NE plenty of snow and us plenty of wind.
  3. 850s are way too warm. Surface is too. There's no point in tracking storms until we get cold.
  4. Anyone have a meteorological explanation of why winds from the record 133kt Vrot and the 30kft+ TDS wouldn't have mixed down to the ground?
  5. Tornadoes need a NESIS or ACE like scale that would account for not just the amount of damage but the areal coverage of the damage. I don't mean any disrespect to the Ashby/Dalton, MN EF-4 it was an awesome tornado that I would have loved to catch if I was storm chasing. However, it really doesn't belong in the same class as something with a 170 mile path length that was a mile wide. https://www.weather.gov/fgf/2020_07_08_Tornadoes https://www.weather.gov/pah/December-10th-11th-2021-Tornado
  6. NIST unofficially downgraded the Joplin Tornado. https://www.nist.gov/system/files/documents/2017/05/09/NCSTACmtgDec2013LombardoJoplin.pdf
  7. Apparently every building in western Kentucky is built like crap.
  8. Here's a research paper from 2013 on the Tristate Tornado. The longest continuous path of damage path might be similar. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/268801867_The_1925_Tri-State_Tornado_Damage_Path_and_Associated_Storm_System
  9. Exactly. I still don't have any doubt this was an EF5.
  10. Joplin had like 800 missing at one point. It's hard getting people accounted for after something like this.
  11. Meh the two parts that didn't derail didn't collide with each other.
  12. Have any EF-0 or EF1s been reported yet? Seems this outbreak was mostly high end tornadoes.
  13. It's December, of course models are going to take away 100% of our snow. Can't wait until February when they only take away 80-90% of our snow.
  14. CMC and ICON have rain, however it's a nice setup on both of them similar to October 2011.
  15. Had my eye on that pattern for a couple days now. Lots of potential to deliver a fantasy storm. I think we'll see an even better run in the next few days.
  16. Our only hope for a named storm this October
  17. CMC has the winds coming out of a more easterly direction than the GFS.
  18. There's some in the lakes/ov forum. This has already outperformed all the 10 page thread events from spring severe season.
  19. 940mb is how low this has to get to beat this week's pacnw storm
  20. If you're going to the west coast Sunday be on the lookout for the monster bomb cyclone atmospheric river.
  21. This would be the first year in a long time that nothing formed in October. Still a long way to go.
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