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Amped

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Everything posted by Amped

  1. We did see ta pretty similar setup on 1/26 and the day 5 models didn't work out too well. Use with caution
  2. Yep sounds exactly like the April 2018 storm in CT. Measured 7" on my parents deck at 10AM was down to about 1" by sunset.
  3. If they did they've probably already melted back below it.
  4. Also watch day 5-7 on future Euro runs. There is a PV north of the great lakes, but the jet is configured so that there is a right entrance region over the eastern half of the US ,and a surface high. This will enhance any disturbance that tries to dig in the plains or MS valley.
  5. Someone else was coming back from VT in that. We were on a HS ski trip, think t was Okemo. We ended up having to return to CT a day early. Hit snow S of Hartford.
  6. My favorite non Canadian fantasy storm of the year. Historic snow and ice storm across a huge area. Slower moving than 2003 or 1996.
  7. TooK the gfs over 36hrs to get the snow from Arkansas to DC. But after that it's an awesome storm day 11-12.
  8. I'm pretty much calling for 2-4" with marginal surface temps like most other mets here? But apparently that makes me a know it all giving everyone the finger.
  9. 2-4" with temps in the mid 30s gets a WSW? LOL
  10. Every model has been badly under doing the SE ridge in the D7+ timeframe. I would take that with lass than a grain of salt.
  11. 2-4" for everyone sounds good.. Going to be hard to get a snow depth of more than 4" on a paved surface, unless you're elevated, and well NW of 95 or there's extreme banding and a lot more precip than shown.
  12. Going to be something huge for the middle of the country., we might be too far SE.
  13. The NAM is really pissed that the rgem dethroned it for worst model last storm, it wants revenge.
  14. Well somehow it formed a coastal. in the middle of a ridge with increasing heights. Not sure how it pulled that off.
  15. It is good for the I81 crew. I 95 is getting mostly liquid out of that setup.
  16. Not liking this trend, models consistently underdoing the SE ridge in Day 5-10 timeframe. Best we can hope for is a thump, then a lot of rain.
  17. It does look a lot less amped than the GFS at 24hrs.
  18. Pretty big ice storm for western areas day 7. GFS CMC and Icon all have similar solutions.
  19. These systems don't phase, but if the NS gets ahead , it will crush the SS before it gets up the coast. So you should probably hope the SS doesn't slow down here, and the NS doesn't speed up. Either will lead to a weaker further south system.
  20. Just cause we moved the RGEM to the naughty list doesn't mean we should put the Sref back on the nice list.
  21. Try this https://github.com/msw17002/Historical-Precipitation-Analysis/tree/main/Northeast_Snowfall
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