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Amped

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Everything posted by Amped

  1. Sleet line looks like it's going to stall near I70. Some sleet mixing in in downtown Columbia.
  2. About noon, but it's probably going to be the NAM sleetfest.
  3. Models didn't change since this afternoon so I wonder why they're cutting back? I guess they're banking on sleet being mixed with the snow . I think this is going to be a boom for the M/D line there is no mixing there, they will probably get more like 4-6". Maybe 2-3" along I70 into the north side of Baltimore. And the 1" line looks about right assuming mostly sleet and rain near the beltway.
  4. This is a crappy setup. It just moves in too quick for the cold to retreat in northern areas. Natures version of hitting a slow infield ground ball and sprinting to first to just beat the throw by a hair. Every time we've hit the ball far this year, it's been caught at the warning track.
  5. I've been on a severe turbulence flight where bags went flying everywhere and plenty of people were freaking out. I managed to stay calm, but an explosion and flames definitely would have made it a lot scarier.
  6. Not sure this is real but yikes,
  7. Ouch, lucky nobody got hurt and it returned to Denver safely.
  8. Changes to rain. If this ends up being DCs biggest event then I don't know anything about weather.
  9. Jackpot south of I95 over Alexandria, with a snow hole over Westminster. There's a reason the good forecasters laugh every time a model shows snow for DC.
  10. The colors don't match the totals across the northern tier. 6" jackpot is colored in 1-2"
  11. Thanks SE ridge.. You took 90% of our snow and I'm so happy you didn't take 100% of it. yet
  12. I usually tell people "Puking Fatties" is local cover band.
  13. Not happening. If we had a good H5 vortex passage it would work, but we don't, so the only decent vertical motion will be with convection offshore.
  14. That second batch blossoms into a massive area of pixie dust. I have a feeling it will overperform somewhere. Unfortunately NJ/NYC/NE might steal it from us again. It's too light and moves through to quick for us to really have a shot at anything significant.
  15. People have to know how to use the NAM It sucks at precip amounts. It is pretty good with the sleet snow line.
  16. Someone told me a model was ejecting a piece of energy that should cut off over the Rockies and showing an imaginary historic snowstorm for the east coast. They didn't tell me what model it was but I was 100% sure it was the GFS.
  17. I'd be happy with 0.1" as long as the Euro, the Para and the RGEM don't show more than .2" at any time within 72hrs of the storm and LWX has me at .05 -.07"
  18. Biggest all sleet event for me since March 2007.
  19. I swear this region used to occasionally get storms that overperformed.
  20. Explains why LWX couldn't go 1-2" even though that's the depth that will verify and the number in the record books.
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