HighStakes

It's just been an incredible uphill climb. At least entering prime time climo makes it easier but when you're on such a bad run you expect everything to go wrong and that has happened even when getting some great mid-range looks. This is still out best shot so far coming up. Have to hope something breaks our way. The 25th is far from settled so maybe we the tide changes. My goal with the 25th system is something measurable then as PSU the next wave is the one that works out. By the end of January you dont want to be punting waves.

This is leaning towards a 94/95, 2005/2006 type deal where we hope we get 1 good secs/mecs although I'm still remaining positive at the moment. There are still more positive signs that we score and the window should be at least 2 weeks.

We wasted a Championship caliber defense.

The sleet killed us in that storm.

I got 15 but never was more than 12 on the ground at one time.

Give me a -AO, -EPO, +PNA and forget the -NAO. We all would be satisfied and freezing. Then I'll take blocking in late winter.

Too much -PNA I guess.

I just looked. Even here it's ridiculous. 530 thickness. 850's almost -6 but surface never gets colder than 34. Its unbelievable. I dont recall seeing that before.

Where's Phineas? Not much to say about Lamar today I guess.

Yup. Pressure is off. We have a have great Defense and best kicker. If we Play KC don't forget mahomes hasn't played in 3 weeks and wasnt paying that great before that. Buffalo is tough but there defense isn't great. Love our chances going forward.

I was thinking about that 2 week period quite a bit leading in to this winter. maybe it's just a hunch or wishful thinking but it is on the table. Our good window really doesn't start until the 15th. This upcoming week still may workout but it looks like we got a bit of a head fake. When our official window gets here its look like well have 2-3 weeks to score. Hopefully there is a reload and we get extend into first 2 weeks of February. We know it has to break down but hopefully we max out on length of favorable indices. Whether or not we enter a 2-3 week stint of deep winter like in 2000 is the million dollar question. For those too young to remember I'll give recap of how that period in January 2000 played out. Horrible 1st 2 weeks of January. Pattern changed on the 18th. Very cold cloudy day with a small clipper that dropped only a half inch of snow but snarled traffic around DC. Only virga from Baltimore northward. Then a nice quick moving system dropped 3-6 inches to kick start the run. The next day was very windy and cold. There was a potential storm on the 23rd but it failed and resulted in flurries. Then of course the 25th we all know about. The next storm was on the 30 th superbowl sunday. Forecast busted in a positive way for northemwest burbs. 4-8 inches fell and never changed over even though most forecast were for 1-3 and a change to a mix then rain. Stayed chilly after that storm for a few days with some snow showers then winter ended. I got 26 inches in Reisterstown all in a 10 day stretch.

Good luck Washington fans. I'm pulling for you. I don't see how anyone root against Smith except for Giants fans.

Euro has been very dry in recent runs. It will probably increase liquid in future runs. I think we could see a period of few hours of snow after a changeover from rain. Perhaps 1-2 although I could see getting nothing just as likely as getting a nice 3-4 inch surprise.

Those were the days. I can remember the stadium shaking from the roar of the crowd. You might remember home owners charging to park your in car in front of their house when the games were sold out.

Bored too. I'm actually watching a replay of game 2 of the 1983 World Series on MASN. The last World series game played in Baltimore. I was at the game with my father. I was 10 years old. Anybody that knew how good the O's were from 1966-1983 would've have bet their life savings that we would be going on 38 years without returning to the WS.

12/14/20: 1.0 12/16-17/20: 10.0 Total: 11.0

BWI: 23.5 DCA: 16.1 IAD: 24.7 RIC: 12.4 Tiebreaker SBY: 13.5

Great example bringing up the Feb. 2006 storm. Tremendous deform band. This storm demonstrates how getting into the CCB band can be a serious game changer and produce big time totals. I got 16 in Reisterstown. There were a few other spotters close by that measured 18. I believe Randallstown got 20 and like you said Columbia was 20-22. The storm was really slow to get going. When the first flakes started to fall most areas where well above freezing. Snow was rather light for most of the afternoon and didnt really start accumulating nicely until early evening. Even then rates never really got any better than moderate. Local mets didnt pick up on the deform potential and during the 11 o'clock news they pretty much thought the storm would wind down by 2 or 3 a.m. with maybe a couple more inches to come. I remember being exhausted and fell a sleep around 12:30 a.m. We had around 6 maybe 7 on the ground at that time. I woke up roughly 3 hours later. When I looked out the window I was shocked. S++. Easily 2-3 inches per hour. 10-12 inches fell in the area in just a 4-5 hour period. The deform band took this otherwise run of the mill decent type snowstorm and made it truly awesome. Had it been colder following the storm we would all remember it more fondly. On the other side of the spectrum you have several storms where the deform band underachieved and kept what could've been great storms rather pedestrian. The 2 late Feb. storms in 2005 come to mind. Classic Miller A's that both should've been 6-12 areawide ended up under producing only barely hitting low end warning criteria in most spots.

Jan. 1996 Feb. 9/10 2010 Jan. 2016 Feb. 2003 Feb. 1983 Feb. 5/6 2010

The storm was much better for you guys. I lived about a mile north of the beltway back then and knowing how close we were to an all snow event producing over 2 ft. has always left a bad taste with me about that storm. I got 12 inches and then an abrupt switch to wind driven sleet for 6 hours straight hours before it ended as a couple oh hours of snow. Ended up with 16-18 inches. Always was very disappointed there wasn't much on the back end with the storm. Roads were awful for several days afterward with the unseasonable cold that hung around.

2/9/10-2/10/10 has to be number 1 specifically for the Manchester area. 32 inches and that is a low estimate, may have easily been 3ft. plus. The initial thump maxed out here. We had a foot on the ground by 12 midnight. picked up 8 of those 12 in a 3 hour period. After the 3 hour lull from 2a.m.-5a.m. things got cranking fast. 2 inch an hour rates with temps falling to around 18-20 and rapidly increasing winds. We had true whiteout condition at least a half dozen times and I mean true whiteout conditions. I couldn't even see my neighbors house on several hundred feet away. The ratios were insane for a HECS. Very low liquid content. Heavy bands stayed over us all day. Never heard any thunder but others in the area did. Heavy bands would rotate through and as they did skies would get very dark as they approached, almost thunderstorm in nature. After the bands moved through skies would temporarily would brighten before the next one rolled in. As the storm winded down we would get these narrow bands theta dropped in from PA and would enhance with the elevation here. They were short induration but very intense. This went on for several hours. The last one of these bands came through at 10:30p.m. If you take the duration ( 32 hours ) plus the wind, temperatures and total accumulation I feel this has to be number 1 here. Also can't forget to mention the 18 inches that were on the ground at the start from the storm 3 days earlier. Of course the worst of this storm was much more localized than our recent blizzard. I do think for overall for this region the recent blizzard probably would be number 1. To see such a large area experiencing extremely high totals was truly remarkable.

I think BWI also came a few tenths of an inch short on the 2/10/2010 measurement.

Jan. 82 was my favorite winter month as kid and is when my winter addiction began. I always loved snow up to that point but the combination of cold and snow that was seen during that month really got me hooked. Even though I was only 9 I can remember very clearly lot of details during that winter.

2/5/10 overall was not very windy but there was about an 8 hour period from midnight to 8am where it picked upped pretty good. Some of my front lawn was bare by early Saturday morning.

Nice change of pace post. A mix of optimism and humor.