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HighStakes

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Everything posted by HighStakes

  1. Teleconnections continue to look good moving forward on Euro ensembles. AO and NAO remain firmly negative. EPO goes negative through much of the run. WPO goes negative. PNA remains firmly negative but that is not too bad considering the other indices look really good. Things could be setting up for a solid late winter run.
  2. Anyone know what happened to Sparky? Have not seen him post this year.
  3. Euro is pretty much locked in. Just a matter a few details working themselves out. Looks good. Every major ensemble mean has us around 10 inches. Can't ask for much more at this point
  4. It may have dipped into the high teens for a short time. Mostly in the 20's during that Wednesday afternoon. Temps rose into high 20's as soon as best shows diminished in the evening.
  5. I'm not in total agreement. I think some one can get 18 plus. Remember were only 54-60 hours from snow entering the region but were still 84 hours out from when the coastal takes over. There are a lot of runs left to increase totals or lessen them a but as well. CCB snows can work magic
  6. No, I still lived in Reisterstown then but I'm pretty sure it was in the 14-16 inch range. I measured16 but there other reports in Reisterstown of 18. Areas around Columbia to Ellicott City to Randallstown reported 20-22. Very high ratio enduring deform band. My 16 was down to 12 by early afternoon when sun came out.
  7. Much warmer leading into that storm. Storm lasted around 18 hours. The 4-5 hour deform band made the storm a non-fail. It was crushing.
  8. Did quite well in Reisterstown with that storm. Round 1 was heavy and dumped 6 inches. I think parts of Howard County got 7-8. Then some drizzle during the lull. Atmosphere cooled back down quickly and by evening there was on and off light snow with occasional heavier burst during the lull. Picked up maybe another inch or so. Round 2 started in earnest after midnight and lasted until mid-morning dumping another 5-6. I was just far enough north to get in decently in round 2.
  9. Without being too much of a weenie this sure looks like a storm with major potential. It's difficult for even the best models to pinpoint location and intensity of the CCB band. Whoever is lucky enough to jackpot is going to get crushed.
  10. For the northern crew looks like surface temp never goes above 28 until 18z Tuesday. Total QPF. around 1.25. Event last roughly 54 hours. Pretty unique.
  11. It really struggles with it until game time
  12. My business is traditionally very slow this time of year. I've had plenty free time to track.
  13. Huge snowstorm wraps up on Tuesday then Friday we hit 60. Shades of 96.
  14. Surface temps look a bit too warm on this run. Would imply a very wet snow which is unusual for up this way during coastals.
  15. Regardless of how it plays out it seems every major models insists on a 48 hour event.
  16. NAO remains firmly negative as does AO. Looks like we finally get a -EPO in 10 days or so. Tonight's GFS advertising some serious cold 2nd week of February.
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