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HighStakes

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Everything posted by HighStakes

  1. Snowing nicely now. Still small flakes though. Took a while to get going.
  2. Tom T's model of choice earlier was the hrrr.
  3. Pretty much been at stuck at 24 all day. Perfect January day.
  4. GFS has northern MD in the single digits Wednesday morning and barely gets out of the teens for highs.
  5. GFS is really cold for northern crew. Temps never get above mid 20's fwiw.
  6. Heavy snow now. Relatively calm winds.
  7. At least every model gives us snow. Feeling confident that a complete miss is off the table ( famous last words lol. ) There's still time for minor improvements which would lead to a decent event to kick off the week.
  8. Howling Winds here in the valley.
  9. Agree! Still think there's a much better shot and a light event than a complete miss. I posted last night my gut was a light to moderate event. There's still plenty time to get this to improve back to a moderate event but anything amped is fading fast. Nonetheless still looking forward to next which should be our first real wintry week in 2 years.
  10. Quite cold behind the Friday system. The Ravens will finally play a home playoff game in freezing weather. If Buffalo beats Pittsburg which is likely then that game will be ridiculous.
  11. Every model now spreads snow over the area. The heaviest stripe has a consistent and similar location on all models just to different degrees on amounts.
  12. Nothing wrong with a light to moderate event Tuesday especially with the late week storm looking better.
  13. I remember reading Gary Gray and his long posts breaking down each model run before PD2. I had just turned 30. 20 years in the blink of an eye!
  14. Like you said until the cutter is out the way there will be more ebbs and flows. Having the cold available with the arctic boundary really helps us. I just can't see this missing us completely. Gut feelings says moderate storm. Fingers crossed.
  15. One thing that I really like seeing is the precipation firmeld is very broad. Lighter snows spread well north and west of the LP center. As of now those of us further north are not fighting a sharp cutoff if the more SE solutions comes to fruition. Not going to take a lot of liquid to produce several inches.
  16. I disagree about the GFS and Euro trending the same way. This solution by the GFS was totally opposite of the Euro. Tonight's GFS keyed on another feature and was 12 hours slower than its own 18z run. Euro was simply squashed. I actually feel really good on everyone' chances. Just way too early to be overly concerned.
  17. I really like this set up. There's a lot to like about this potential if you're expectations are realistic. A moderate snowstorm with a SECS upside is very much alive.
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