SBUWX23
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Everything posted by SBUWX23
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sun angle is also higher. -
at least its not 55 degrees, flooding rains, and wind.
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Expect a light snowfall and enjoy whatever we get. at least it wont wash away with rain Friday night.
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that is some top notch analysis. It improved at 500 mb since 00z. There is a ceiling with this, but the 500 mb improvement could yield a bit more snow down the road.
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I feel like the NAM may be "slightly" better. Maybe.
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What is? Share the mean
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Understand the concern but at 500 MB it makes sense why it's trying to redevelop the surface low where it is.
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This is crap? It's not a ku but this isn't necessarily crap
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Jeez sorry I didn't know I wasn't letting people vent man.
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I will say though models almost never trend west or north. Wherever the gradient is now should verify. Models almost never miss these situations.
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At the same time it can also tighten the forcing gradient and where it is snowing under light returns its full of fluff.
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You live near an ocean that has a warm stream running near and off the coast. You have been spoiled over the last 10-15 years with big storms and KUs. They don't always work that way. Both of these systems are not classics by any stretch and of course they'll have some challenges.
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All will depend on the strength of the subsidence to the north and the confluent flow.
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No significant change on the GFS. Been pretty consistent the last several cycles on a light but fluffy event for portions of the region mainly south of New England.
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18z ICON also sorta backed off from it's 12z run.
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Clown map from the 18z rgem. Continues to trend towards more of the inverted trough compared to a larger coastal influence
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The one thing id consider is the sun will do some work on the sun tomorrow but there should be some snow left for sure
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And it won't rain or mix. It shouldn't at least based on the synoptic pattern
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Some of it I don't think is his fault. They were missing their best offense guy last playoff. They need 1 more power forward who can score. He has completely changed their culture and don't think he's gone after this year if they don't win it all
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Euro had zilch for today about 3 days ago.
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Updates will come early afternoon..
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I know many are worried about the pattern change coming but we should not forget that we have not yet reached our climo highest snow month. I'm gonna be venture to say we will have chances at some point later in February
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