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SBUWX23

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Everything posted by SBUWX23

  1. SBUWX23
    Been thinking the same thing but seems to be differing opinions on this. Maybe east end isn't as great but think at least western half should be ok. Some south shore places may see more in this one than Tuesday.
  2. SBUWX23
    Look at radar. That band he said that reformed looks to be heading in the direction of the city.
  3. SBUWX23
    It's good official measurements are not taken on blacktop with a subway system below
  4. SBUWX23
    The dewpoint is 12. There will be no problem with snow fall on a colder surface once the steadier snow arrives.
  5. SBUWX23
    It's nothing probably radiaiting off the lowering clouds
  6. SBUWX23
    Probably won't take long for the park to drop below freezing. Not sure about blacktop in Manhattan. I'm sure there will be "roads covered" posts galore.
  7. SBUWX23
    I disagree. Temp is 37 now with a dewpoint of 12. When it starts precipitating temperature will drop to freezing and then should drop a bit more through the early morning.
  8. SBUWX23
    The dewpoint is 10 too. Ideal wet bulb cooking conditions
  9. SBUWX23
    No it did not looking at its simulated radar.
  10. SBUWX23
    Makes no sense why N PA has more snow on this map then areas near the strongest frontogenesis
  11. SBUWX23
    Oh well. It's over then. Good night.
  12. SBUWX23
    Can you share what that means?
  13. SBUWX23
    This is just hysterical
  14. SBUWX23
    temps may be just above freezing initially but Tds in the teens that will drop down once steady snow begins.
  15. SBUWX23
  16. SBUWX23
    This isnt an IMBY post but I feel like there is room on the NAM for a bit more of a push north too.
  17. SBUWX23
    what happenened?
  18. SBUWX23
    rgem is not that far off though. euro is not completely on its own.
  19. SBUWX23
    10m winds really are not N though. they are very weak. The issue is the energy is more robust on previous RGEM, Euro runs leading to a more organized low and a bit further north. New NAMs and FV3 are weaker overall and less precip on N side.
  20. SBUWX23
    this is just one variation in CNJ, but NAM3k is showing it above the dendritic growth zone
  21. SBUWX23
    try to look where omega is located, and see if it lines up with the -12 to -18 zone in the profile and it is saturated. That is also one piece of the puzzle. Snow habit is diverse, but that is one way to get an idea.
  22. SBUWX23
    the big unknown is if snow growth isnt the best, if you are not dendrites the habit could lower your ratio even its cold. Temperature is only one part of the equation.
  23. SBUWX23
    The nam can easily shift back north. Rgem is and it's consistent with its previous run
  24. SBUWX23
    Wanna see this continue in next several runs. It's been back and forth but would be cool if we can get a bump in qpf too
  25. SBUWX23
    Seems like the type of system that would trend north down to the wire. Just speculating there though and by no means saying it will happen. Just feel like I've seen northern stream dominant lows shift north frequently.
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