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Radtechwxman

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Everything posted by Radtechwxman

  1. I feel both of these. Heck I'm in north central IL and still waiting on my first 1in snow of the season. Storm track hasn't been good in any direction for me this year. Lots of cold rain. I was holding hope this 2nd wave would be east enough to help us out but latest trends not promising. Naturally this 1st wave is bleeding south more but not enough to benefit me. Sharp southern gradient.
  2. Man need that 500mb low to nudge se. It tracks almost due north from TX. Crazy. That track brings in WAA rapidly and would give most of this thread rain with some icing overnight Thurs into early Fri.
  3. 18z nam has that wagons west look with surface pattern. Could be a good front end thump of ice before cold rain. Impressive look at 500mb with closed low. A stout ridge to the east could force this almost due north. Would like to see that ridge deamplify a bit so it could move more northeast than due north.
  4. Good ol' DGEX. I miss that whack model. I can tell that this 2nd wave is going to be held back from fully taking off because of the confluence downstream. 0z gfs definitely se more with sfc low. It did close off a 500mb contour and even has some residual energy after Fri. I wish gem had more model support but it seems to be a stand alone on 1st wave being that south.
  5. Long range nam so take it with a grain of salt but it's way south with the 500mb low. Has sfc low at 84hrs just off shore from Houston. Crazy
  6. If it were to ever happen it would be this year on the last day of 2020. Lololololol
  7. Classic IL River sharp cutoff. Never fails. Lol
  8. 18z gfs step in right direction for me. I'm literally on the gradient from warning criteria to like nothing. Lol. What's new. Hopefully can see a few more nudges se.
  9. Going to be a nail biter here in Peoria. 1st wave on most guidance minus UKMET/GEM misses me largely north and 2nd wave has the low nearly on me on most guidance. I'm expecting more ice than anything now and some plain rain. Unsure on snow potential.
  10. Man if only I could lock in that run of Canadian. Great front end thump and decent 2nd hit from the secondary low
  11. That would be a very 2020 track and perfect scenario to end this whack year
  12. Watch this secondary low follow the same path the Christmas Eve/Christmas day storm followed. That ridging to the east will be critical in determining if this is more of a GL cutter or an App runner. Definitely will be interesting to see what evolves as this trough is impressive.
  13. I'm honestly surprised how east the secondary low goes with how the upper levels look. You would think this could trend west given how wrapped up it gets
  14. Nice to see euro on board with robust secondary low development. But I'm feeling that the first wave will miss me to west with snow and second wave east. Sounds about right. Obviously it's early and track is far from locked in but that's typical luck for my area. Lol
  15. Euro definitely took a big step towards GEM but like hawkeye stated, it wraps it up later and the front end hit isn't as aggressive as GEM. Chicago area could luck out on this one esp with secondary low development.
  16. If only the Canadian model could be right for once eh
  17. I see 12z gfs looks a lot like euro now with a way west cutter. Joy. The year going out with the 2020 trend....CRAP. Hoping we can trend back to at least a decent front end thump but I'm not holding my breath.
  18. THIS. Lol. I like the active pattern with powerhouse storms but definitely would like to see the storm track shunted more south and east. Cold rain is no beuno
  19. 0z model suite so far is about as encouraging as this year has been. Never was expecting much from this but was keeping a glimmer of hope because of euro. But everything is slowly caving to GFS. At least the pattern looks somewhat active after this wannabe storm.
  20. Euro definitely caved from a sfc perspective towards GFS. Honestly think we will see a lot of flip flopping this week until the energy gets better sampled. Nam has a more euro look but it's also Nam at 84hrs. I'm not getting my hopes up for any snow at this point.
  21. Good grief. Here we go again. Another impressive band setting up near Binghamton
  22. You're thoroughly entrenched in that band now like Binghamton was earlier. Will probably be in it a while
  23. Only negative to experiencing something this high end is that next snowstorm when you only get 1-2in/hr rates or less you will be like meh. Be like man I only got 12in in 12hrs instead of 2-3 hrs. Super lame. Lol
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