NAM with 2-4” too. Not sure how to feel about this one. WAA can often overperform but at the same time we tend to get a pesky warm nose keeping down totals. Feels like it always goes one way or the other.
0z GFS/Canadian miss to the south for 2/20 but not by much. Potential is still there. We just need the flow to amplify without a super strong high pushing everything to the south.
Latest HRRR came north and now has at least something in the Lehigh Valley. C-1” as opposed to nothing in its previous runs. Plus I just refreshed KDIX and there are some weak echoes starting to appear around here. So it’s probably not going to be a nothingburger bust at least. Not really looking good for anything more than an inch though.
Found a spot to watch in downtown Philly last night then partied on Broad Street. Took me 20 minutes just to go half a mile to get on the Schuylkill afterwards but it was completely worth it. What a night.
0z NAM brings back the Tuesday threat with plowable snow up to the turnpike. 18z Euro and RGEM also looked much better. Don’t write this one off yet! I doubt it trends back to a big one but we could still get some decent snow out of this.
Next week could literally be the worst case scenario. First wave misses south, second wave rains on us. Just brutal given how much potential this period had.
12z NAM gives ABE less than an inch of snow and sleets like crazy on us. HRRR is mostly snow with 6”. This storm starts today. Oh how I love this hobby…