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LVblizzard

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Everything posted by LVblizzard

  1. LVblizzard
    It now appears pretty certain that it will snow on Monday. So I don’t think a thread can curse us. The question is, how much? Some models, like the Canadian, keep the heavy snow to our south in Baltimore and DC. While the GFS has a MECS for all of us. It’ll be an interesting weekend of tracking, hopefully we can all get in on the fun with this one.
  2. LVblizzard
    The GFS turns this into a fairly long duration storm as snow continues with the passage of the vort, as opposed to previous runs where most of it was the front end WAA thump. As a result we get a major snowstorm.
  3. LVblizzard
    Ummm…holy GFS. Wow. This is a crazy good run for all of us.
  4. LVblizzard
    21z SREF mean is waaaaayyyyy north. Looks like the ICON.
  5. LVblizzard
    18z GFS with another jump north. 6-10” event up to the Lehigh Valley.
  6. LVblizzard
    I wouldn’t say *way* north but it is a pretty decent sized jump.
  7. LVblizzard
    6-12” from Wilmington all the way up to Scranton. Beautiful run! Now if only the other models could follow suit.
  8. LVblizzard
    3km NAM isn’t as ambitious as the HRRR but it still paints a wide swath of ground whitening snow throughout SE PA.
  9. LVblizzard
    Jackpot of half a foot in Chesco. This would be quite the surprise event.
  10. LVblizzard
    GFS and Canadian look great. This is a warning level event for all of us with another 40-50 mile tick north. Which I think is fairly likely given how these systems usually trend.
  11. LVblizzard
    FWIW the 12z NAM at 84 seems in line with most of the other models. Maybe a little more amped.
  12. LVblizzard
    12z HRRR gives us 1-3” tomorrow. Is it on to something? I’m inclined to say no, but we’ve seen these surprise setups produce before.
  13. LVblizzard
    Euro ticked south a little. Still 3-6” for most of us.
  14. LVblizzard
    These SWFE type storms trend north more often than not. I think plowable snow gets up to I-78 or I-80 in the end.
  15. LVblizzard
    This is interesting. 6z NAM has a thin stripe of 1-3” in the Philly area on Friday.
  16. LVblizzard
    Seeing good trends in the 0z models for the two storm threats next week. Hopefully we can get at least one of them.
  17. LVblizzard
    Not getting any of the crazy wind or hail to the south but there is some lightning and thunder here. Crazy for New Year’s Eve!
  18. LVblizzard
    Both threats are very much alive and well despite the surface output not looking great on a lot of the models. A lot of things would have to go wrong for us to not see anything.
  19. LVblizzard
    12z models look like hot garbage at the surface but I’ll gamble with this H5 look any day.
  20. LVblizzard
    Models are starting to key in on 1/6-1/7 rather than 1/9-1/10. Tonight’s Euro has a 986 low off the Delmarva throwing back 6-12” of snow into the area. The second threat isn’t dead yet but it needs a lot more things to go right to make it happen.
  21. LVblizzard
    0z Euro is a flat out NUKE for this entire subforum!
  22. LVblizzard
    Some really thick fog in and around Allentown tonight. Visibility down to 1/4 mile in spots. That GFS is very intriguing. Meanwhile the Canadian looks like it would focus on the second piece of energy around 1/9-1/11. Tonight’s Euro should be fun!
  23. LVblizzard
    Snowpack has dwindled down to just a little bit of white in less than half the yard. I’m just glad it stuck around for Christmas.
  24. LVblizzard
    0z meso models looking juicier for Tuesday north of Philly. Lots of them showing over an inch in the Lehigh Valley now.
  25. LVblizzard
    I wonder how much of this snowpack will stick around till Christmas. I like our odds of a white Christmas with temps not getting above freezing for the next 3 days and the low sun angle, plus the chance of a little bit more on Tuesday.
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