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nwohweather

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Everything posted by nwohweather

  1. Tornado went north and west of town. I caught a glimpse of it, thing was a monster
  2. Holy shit I’m under a Tornado Emergency
  3. One thing to consider for “non-locals” is that there are very few basements in the South. Really have no options for these killer tornadoes except the bathtub
  4. Man if anything fires in southern Alabama. Completely untouched atmosphere that is ripe for storms
  5. Doubtful. Moving into a bit of a radar hole sadly as it goes away the Jackson one and towards Birmingham’s
  6. Amazing debris fallout. Also with a ground scraping LCL I figured on a few wedges today
  7. The atmosphere is so so potent that the first supercell did not even weaken the environment. That is unbelievable
  8. Wow there is an actual hole where the tornado is on radar
  9. Wow the town of Bassfield more than likely has just been gutted. Southern MS/AL have a much less tampered with enviro and it seems as though these cells are taking a very classic look
  10. Looks like there still some cap in place over the mid South. Could really see things taking off around 5-6 PM
  11. LCL's are so low (500-750) across most of risk area today. It is going to take nothing to drop a tornado considering parcels are condensing already within 2000 feet
  12. I think it's time to go High Risk today. The fact that a large tornado just occurred within a QLCS during the morning before diurnal heating and the deepening of the low has occurred is really something. Growing up in the Great Lakes region so many classic outbreaks and strong tornadoes I have chased featured solid instability, great dews around 70° and SRH's of 250-350. Today's numbers, especially in SRH are blowing this out of the water. To see such stark numbers suggest any strong updraft may rotate, and violently at that at times.
  13. Bingo. This setup for Easter is incredible, one of the best I’ve ever seen. But April 27th was Michael Jordan, hands down the greatest setup of all-time. And it led to some of the most memorable tornadoes ever as well. However here is an actual quote from the SPC Outlook on that morning... “THE WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT WILL ALSO RAPIDLY BECOME MORE FAVORABLE AS THE NOSE OF A 80 TO 100 KT MID-LEVEL JET EJECTS EWD ACROSS THE REGION AND INTERACTS WITH A WELL-DEVELOPED LOW-LEVEL JET. THIS WILL CREATE LARGE LOOPING HODOGRAPHS FROM ERN MS AND NCNTRL AL NWD INTO SRN TN. 0-3 KM STORM RELATIVE HELICITIES IN THE 450 TO 600 M2/S2 RANGE SHOULD BE VERY FAVORABLE FOR TORNADIC SUPERCELLS” It’s very similar in setting the stage, just with a tad less instability. Storm motions will be insane on Sunday, 65-75 mph
  14. Think I’m going to chase on Easter down here. Thinking of heading out to Montgomery AL and then letting the storms come to me. I won’t lie, has a chance to be an all-time outbreak down here on Sunday. Don’t like to go overboard with predictions, but good God a mid-level jet of 90 kts with 2000-3500 j/kg of CAPE, SRH from 4-500, LI’s at the surface above -10 for a large stretch, and long curved hodographs. Would not be shocked to see many long track tornadoes across southern AL/MS/GA
  15. LI’s of -9 and SRH at the lowest levels of 450. Good heavens. Also LCL’s are really low there, you could get some groundscraping wedges out there
  16. Jesus Toledo has more cases than Cincinnati? IMO our government needs to start planning for how we re-open post social distancing. As we start to decline off this peak, they need to have plans in place to take temperatures before entering any buildings. Also they need to require masks for anyone inside an interior building. Our economy simply cannot survive if this continues past May 1. Safety is paramount, but in 3 weeks we need to be ready to go out to eat and shop at Target again. If that doesn't happen, the cure will indeed wind up being worse than the sickness overall.
  17. With our family postponing Easter in Savannah and no church services I think I'm going to head out from Charleston to chase this one. Mid-level jet will be roaring around 100 kts, solid destabilization, and large curved hodographs all look like a great setup. Also it is important to note that the better setup is on the Euro which bodes well if you're looking for tornadoes.
  18. I thought a derecho was 240 miles in distance and 50 miles wide?
  19. Wind reports from this morning on that line out of Cleveland... Went from Cleveland to DC with reports
  20. Sir are you calling today a bust? Goodness, it may have lacked tornadoes but there was incredible spread of severe weather and a derecho barreling through Ohio
  21. I actually like the tornado chances in my old stomping grounds. Great lapse rates and solid hodographs around that warm front is going to more than likely lead to a few tornado warnings across the Toledo/Fort Wayne areas this afternoon. Lapse rates of 8 are unreal for Northern OH though, you could really see some explosive development and serious hail this afternoon.
  22. Looks like the SPC is banking on a derecho tomorrow. I could see the storms kicking up off the mountains tomorrow bringing some basic severe weather with that vort hanging around, and then a derecho sweeping through tomorrow night in the Virginias
  23. The SPC is banking hard on a derecho tomorrow I see
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