nwohweather

That's weather for ya right though? It's just a big balancing act and what goes up must come down. If you get a period of below average weather chances are you'll get above average soon

It seems like November keeps paying off more and more on a yearly basis with good snows

Wow

Hell of a change since noon today. Temp was 63° with a few of 63°, now we’re sitting at 73°/73° with an E wind

Looks like we finally have rotating cells beginning to come onshore. Also the water is pretty high as we head to low tide here in Charleston, I worry this evening as we head for another high tide at 9 PM that we have quite a bit of inundation as the beaches are really worked over from Ian already. Looks like a giant excavator rolled through

Great read by the NWS Marquette on the sinking of the Edmund Fitzgerald and the storm system itself. https://noaa.maps.arcgis.com/apps/MapSeries/index.html?appid=858309daa74f4e6ebf81f32d128f7ed8

Crazy to see the differences in the major models. Around 100 hours out and it’s a near 30 mb difference in strength between the Euro and GFS. Also the Euro is showing a slightly stronger blizzard for the Northern Plains with its center being in the Dakotas and not Nebraska. Too much uncertainty for Florida with not a lot of time left on the clock here

Yeah they planted those awhile back to help with soil erosion and actually as a revenue generating stream for the park itself when they get harvested. I agree with you that Oak Openings is a gem, and the prickly pear cactus found around the park is so damn cool. The place I got is about 10 mins east of there. We're still hitting 80 every day here still so I definitely feel that. Not a bad way to enter November while the Western US gets much needed snow & rain

Amen to that man! Maple trees put on a hell of a show in the Fall. Is this taken at Oak Openings?

Great for the wineries on the lake!

I haven't had winter since March of 2019 really so it'll hit me like a ton of bricks, still running the AC down here even. Not to go too OT but I'm somewhat glad, the CoL has gotten out of control with remote workers flooding the region to the point that Novi would be a cheaper suburb in Charleston.

Have to move back to the Ann Arbor office. Rooting for record warmth this winter

That cold air is definitely entrenching itself pretty early on this year, interesting to see that battle where really the SE coast is holding on to the heat but the GL/NE/KY/TN are getting pretty down there temp wise

This is why guys like Jim Cantore are so important. Too many folks are moving to these hurricane states and do not come close to understanding the violence of major hurricane. I’ve been through enough tornadoes and derechos to know you do not mess with 100+ mph wind

Honestly maybe as bad as New Orleans, roads are usually impassable during high tide. Right now downtown is completely underwater

To be honest something similar would decimate Charleston. This place is getting so overbuilt with much worse building codes than FL

I like how it fully verified almost to perfection

I picked a hell of a week to come to the Smokies eh? Honestly been looking like a hell of a wind event over SC as this thing interacts with that trough

Have to almost wonder reading tweets from the USAF that we are not getting ideal data due to how violent this is. Dave Malkoff tweeted they dropped 1000 ft, had hail and dealt with extreme turbulence in the eye as well. At this point those guys are just trying to keep the plane in the air

Absurd amount of lightning

Interaction with that trough is key. Also great instability and helicity number should make for a solid tornado event as well.

Dear Lord could you imagine!? I’ve seen enough “blobs” strengthen into small named storms over the last few years over that ocean current that runs east of Charleston, wouldn’t be shocked to see this restrengthen and organize before a second landfall

Looking more and more like a Cat 1 will make landfall between HHI and CHS. The stronger this storm gets, the more strength it’ll have as it chugs through FL. It will be interesting to see how it takes on the very dry air in place north of FL, we essentially have a wedge front in place at the moment (high today of 73 with sun!) Just cannot underestimate the Gulf Stream and the very warm water in place offshore at the moment. It’s absolutely ripe for a little intensification just depending on how much time this thing can get offshore

Well what worries me is a continued east track and the Gulf Stream. Absolute jet fuel for a weakening system as it goes back out over the water

Definitely watching in Charleston. Wouldn’t be shocked to see even at Cat 1 run up in here