USCAPEWEATHERAF

No I mean no power problems for the next four months of football season.

Ahh, the 18z GFS clips me with some heavy downpours. No wind damage likely.

I can't have this system take away my NFL for the next four months.

No you guys take Dorian and fling his impacts SE of ACK, kick him out to sea, I want to watch football this weekend and not lose power because I know my street will lose power the first 10mph gust that occurs Friday morning.

Predictions made by James W Nichols I outlay the potential standings and records and playoff matchups and outcomes. Questions?? I would love to debate them. It is the attached file. The 2019 NFL Season Predictions.docx

I would hate to lose power for any more than I have too. Hell no to Dorian, go away fierce monster of Mother Nature, go away, I want to watch football this Sunday. I have a feeling N'Keal Harry will do to the Steelers what Gronk did to them in his career.

Sunrise approaching Dorian this morning, the hurricane should be visible completely by another half hour to an hour.

Yes sir, he has been in beast mode since around 5:00 pm EDT yesterday.

The eye is really clearing out, radar shows an intensifying eyewall. Visible satellite imagery shows hot towers in the NE Eyewall.

Yes, unfortunately, Dorian is now a hurricane. Models showing a potentially catastrophic hurricane heading towards the south-central east coast of Florida landfall in the next 4 to 5 days. Stay tuned as the models show an extremely dangerous hurricane making the approach to the Space Coast of Florida.

Erin is with us now, TD6 has been upgraded according to the NAVY site and the 00z Best track site ATCF site. Models are coming west with the track of Erin, very close now to the benchmark and we have another three days before she can reach our latitude.

Oh yeah compared to average. I meant a decent winter, no.

Seems like Will's map suggests my area was screwed the most.

Remember how awful the winter of 2009-2010 was for SE MA and RI? We got porked in one the strongest -NAO blocks we have ever dealt with. Especially late January 2010 and February 2010, PA and NJ got feet of snow, while Boston, SE MA, and RI were balmy with fog and temps in the upper 50s. All because the storm backed in the north of us.

While my dreams are in motion, my plan is in the flow of life. Today I am poor, tomorrow I am a billionaire.

98L is the East Coast threat we have been talking about. It has a large surface circulation that remains broad and not well-defined quite yet. However, convection is centralized and I believe 90L in the central Northern Gulf is organizing.

Maybe, I personally hope not, I want to watch my Patriots play their games this season. Anyways, power being out is not a good or fun thing. I just lost power on July 23rd from the EF-1 tornado, and we didn't have it for a day, just a day, and it was the worst feeling in the world. Not again.

Come on John, we can be more sincere than that. We know what he means. This is after all a tropical weather subtopic.

I agree Scott, we don't want destruction here, I want my power.

Cranky is awful with tropical weather forecasting, he is better with synoptic and winter seasonal as well as thunderstorm seasonal forecasting, Tropical Cyclone forecasting just isn't in his area of expertise.

Major Severe Weather Outbreak is underway today over SNE as the first tornado warning has been issued for Middlesex County, MA. The rest of the region shows increasing potential for intense damaging winds over 70mph, large hail over 1.5" and a few tornadoes. Severe Thunderstorm Watch in effect until 10 pm tonight.

Look at the Bahamas wave, it appears to have a strong mid-level circulation already, and could be relating to the surface now.

The disturbance in the Bahamas has a spin to it right now, but can't tell if it is at the low to mid-levels. Convection is spread out currently. Not a conducive position currently to develop. Convection would have to become more concentrated with time. I don't think this is the same system the global models show blowing up off the SE US coast by Labor Day, it could be another wave.

Fireworks have begun for Tom Brady and his list of WR weapons on the outside. With Josh Gordon and Julian Edelman back yesterday at practice, today the Patriots get tremendous news that Demaryius Thomas has returned to practice after suffering from a horrible Achilles tear injury last season with the Texans. After signing a one-year deal with the Patriots, Thomas has returned to action and is officially taken off the PUP list. This adds another veteran weapon on the outside at a size of 6'3" 220lbs or heavier along with Gordon 6'3" too and N'Keal Harry who is the tallest at 6'4" and 230lbs. That gives them three large bodies, athletic WRs for Brady and the offense. Along with a deep backfield, the TE position is missing one true TE from being a formidable offense this season. Barring any further significant injuries, this team has the ceiling of a perfect season repeat. I believe it is a dumb part of anyone in the prediction business to predict a perfect NFL season, even if the Patriots did it just 12 years ago. It is possible, about a 12 percent chance. I am still on track to deliver my predictions officially by September 5th, they should be posted then, but I will work between 29th to the 4th on this process.

My novel is progressing, we hope it will be finished before November 1st, 2019. We could get it published as soon as Spring 2020. Fingers crossed! As for my NFL predictions release, that won't come until the first day of NFL games, which is two weeks from Thursday, September 5th. I will release my thoughts than, stay tuned! Another thing, Josh Gordon is dealing with something far greater than substance abuse issues. Most people who suffer drug or alcohol addiction are trying to mask the inner pain of an emotional loss. Something either traumatic happened to them in the maturation process growing up, before the age of 30, or the loss of a personal friend or family member in which anger was pushed to the side and not dealt with head-on can cause significant mental health risks, such as depression and illness. Our minds are so fragile, while also so strong, we still have no idea what over 80 % of the mind does for the human body. That is amazing. Josh Gordon I hope pulls through, not because of his tremendous talent that will help the Patriots, but because as a human being, we love success stories, underdogs, people who beat the odds of life and their circumstances to overcome the tragedy they face in life. I want him to have that story. A lot of people pull for someone trying to relinquish the demons he is fighting.